Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:30Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Norderstedt

Hamburg SV vs VfB Stuttgart: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Hamburg SV v VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Hamburg SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: VfB Stuttgart (49%)

Small sample · 6/8 matches
1 · Hamburg SV
28%
X · Draw
23%
2 · VfB Stuttgart
49%

Expected goals

Hamburg SV 1.46 · VfB Stuttgart 1.98

Most likely scores

1-1 (10%) · 1-2 (9%) · 2-1 (7%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Hamburg SV went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13.
  • VfB Stuttgart went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 3.
  • At home, Hamburg SV have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, VfB Stuttgart have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • In Hamburg SV's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In VfB Stuttgart's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
  • In the table, Hamburg SV are 13th and VfB Stuttgart 12th (6 and 6 points). VfB Stuttgart sit 1 place higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

Last 5 matches

LLWWW

3

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

7-13

Goals

  • W10 OctTSG Hoffenheim2-3Hamburg SV
  • W4 OctHamburg SV2-0F.C. København
  • W19 SeptHamburg SV2-1FC Cologne
  • L13 SeptRB Leipzig5-0Hamburg SV
  • L6 SeptHamburg SV0-5Mainz
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Last 6 matches

LLWWWW

4

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

14-3

Goals

  • W14 OctSlovan Bratislava0-3VfB Stuttgart
  • W10 OctSC Paderborn 070-2VfB Stuttgart
  • W1 OctVfB Stuttgart5-0SpVgg Greuther Fürth
  • W25 SeptVfB Stuttgart3-01. FC Heidenheim 1846
  • L19 SeptVfB Stuttgart0-1Borussia Dortmund
  • L12 SeptTSG 1899 Hoffenheim2-1VfB Stuttgart

Standings

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

13º

Pos.

6

Pts

5

P

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

12º

Pos.

6

Pts

5

P

Line-ups

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.