Segunda División
Real Valladolid vs Castellón: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Real Valladolid v Castellón in the Segunda División.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Real Valladolid vs Castellón prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Castellón, with a 51% chance of winning. It expects 1.0 goals from Real Valladolid and 1.6 from Castellón: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Castellón (51%)
Large sample · 13/13 matches- 1 · Real Valladolid
- 23%
- X · Draw
- 26%
- 2 · Castellón
- 51%
Expected goals
Real Valladolid 1.00 · Castellón 1.60
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 0-1 (11%) · 1-2 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Castellón or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Castellón to score | 74% |
| Castellón (draw no bet) | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 13 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Real Valladolid come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10.
- Castellón come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 3.
- At home, Real Valladolid have won 2 of their last 3 matches (3.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Castellón have won 2 of their last 4 matches (1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- In Real Valladolid's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Castellón's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
- In the table, Real Valladolid are 13th and Castellón 1st (15 and 27 points). Castellón sit 12 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Real Valladolid
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
15-10
Goals
- W2 NovReal Valladolid4-3Leganés
- W29 OctCovadonga0-1Real Valladolid
- L23 OctGranada2-1Real Valladolid
- L18 OctReal Valladolid2-3Eldense
- W12 OctReal Valladolid5-0Albacete
- D4 OctLas Palmas2-2Real Valladolid
Castellón
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
12-3
Goals
- D1 NovBurgos1-1Castellón
- W29 OctConquense0-3Castellón
- W25 OctCastellón4-0Sporting Gijón
- W17 OctLas Palmas0-3Castellón
- L11 OctFC Andorra1-0Castellón
- D4 OctCastellón1-1Ceuta
Standings
Real Valladolid
13º
Pos.
15
Pts
12
P
Castellón
1º
Pos.
27
Pts
12
P
Line-ups
Real Valladolid
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Castellón
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.