Segunda División
Tenerife vs Ceuta: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Tenerife v Ceuta in the Segunda División.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Tenerife vs Ceuta prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Tenerife, with a 57% chance of winning. It expects 1.9 goals from Tenerife and 1.0 from Ceuta: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Tenerife (57%)
Large sample · 12/13 matches- 1 · Tenerife
- 57%
- X · Draw
- 23%
- 2 · Ceuta
- 19%
Expected goals
Tenerife 1.90 · Ceuta 1.02
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (10%) · 2-0 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tenerife or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Tenerife to score | 79% |
| Tenerife (draw no bet) | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 11% |
Based on goals from each team's last 13 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Tenerife come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
- Ceuta come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11.
- At home, Tenerife have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Ceuta have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- In Tenerife's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.
- In Ceuta's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, Tenerife are 14th and Ceuta 22nd (15 and 5 points). Tenerife sit 8 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Tenerife
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
8-9
Goals
- D2 NovTenerife2-2FC Andorra
- D25 OctCD Sabadell1-1Tenerife
- D19 OctRC Celta Fortuna1-1Tenerife
- D12 OctTenerife1-1Girona
- L5 OctCórdoba3-2Tenerife
- D26 SeptTenerife1-1Cádiz
Ceuta
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
6-11
Goals
- L1 NovCeuta0-2Sporting Gijón
- W29 OctPoblense1-2Ceuta
- L25 OctCádiz3-1Ceuta
- L18 OctCeuta1-2Real Oviedo
- L10 OctCeuta1-2CD Sabadell
- D4 OctCastellón1-1Ceuta
Standings
Tenerife
14º
Pos.
15
Pts
12
P
Ceuta
22º
Pos.
5
Pts
12
P
Line-ups
Tenerife
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Ceuta
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.