League Two

League Two

Tuesday, 1 September 2026 at 20:45The County Ground, Swindon

Swindon Town vs Port Vale: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Swindon Town v Port Vale in the League Two.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Swindon Town vs Port Vale prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Swindon Town (46%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches
1 · Swindon Town
46%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Port Vale
26%

Expected goals

Swindon Town 1.42 · Port Vale 1.00

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (12%) · 0-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Swindon Town went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12.
  • Port Vale went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 8.
  • Away from home, Port Vale have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • In Swindon Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Port Vale's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Swindon Town

Swindon Town

Last 5 matches

LLDWL

1

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

5-12

Goals

  • L29 AugOldham Athletic3-0Swindon Town
  • W22 AugSwindon Town2-1Cheltenham Town
  • D15 AugNorthampton Town0-0Swindon Town
  • L8 AugCardiff City3-2Swindon Town
  • L18 JulCrystal Palace5-1Swindon Town
Port Vale

Port Vale

Last 5 matches

LLLDD

0

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

1-8

Goals

  • D29 AugPort Vale0-0Crewe Alexandra
  • D22 AugPort Vale1-1Tranmere Rovers
  • L15 AugOldham Athletic2-0Port Vale
  • L7 AugWolverhampton Wanderers3-0Port Vale
  • L2 MayPort Vale0-2Lincoln City

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Swindon Town

Swindon Town

4-3-3
1
Connor Ripley
2
Mitchell Clark
21
Kaelan Majekodunmi
5
Stephan Negru
17
Ryan Tafazolli
27
Anthony Munda
25
Shaun Thomson
8
Ollie Clarke
23
Aaron Drinan
28
Ollie Palmer
7
Tom Nichols

Substitutes

LG
Lucas Griffiths-Brown
#38 · SUB
JS
Joseph Snowdon
#19 · SUB
LM
Louis Millard
#39 · SUB
JB
James Ball
#6 · SUB
LW
Lewis Ward
#12 · SUB
JD
James Debayo
#18 · SUB
BM
Ben Middlemas
#20 · SUB
Port Vale

Port Vale

4-2-3-1
1
Jackson Smith
6
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
15
Liam Gordon
25
Cameron Humphreys
5
Connor Hall
10
Kyle Dempsey
11
Onel Hernández
38
Rhys Walters
37
Matthew Craig
19
Ben Waine
14
Oliver Lynch

Substitutes

LM
Lewis Montsma
#22 · SUB
BG
Ben Garrity
#8 · SUB
GH
George Hall
#33 · SUB
MM
Marko Marosi
#20 · SUB
JH
Jaheim Headley
#3 · SUB
TS
Tyreece Simpson
#17 · SUB
KJ
Kyle John
#2 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.

Swindon Town 3-1 Port Vale: result and analysis | MBet AI