League Two

League Two

Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 16:00Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale

Rochdale vs Swindon Town: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Rochdale v Swindon Town in the League Two.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Rochdale vs Swindon Town prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Rochdale (43%)

Medium sample · 10/9 matches
1 · Rochdale
43%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Swindon Town
30%

Expected goals

Rochdale 1.47 · Swindon Town 1.18

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 10 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Rochdale went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8.
  • Swindon Town went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11.
  • At home, Rochdale have won 2 of their last 4 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Swindon Town have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • In Rochdale's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Swindon Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Rochdale

Rochdale

Last 6 matches

WLDWLW

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

11-8

Goals

  • W26 SeptFleetwood Town1-2Rochdale
  • L22 SeptRochdale3-3Liverpool U21
  • W19 SeptRochdale2-0Oldham Athletic
  • D12 SeptWalsall0-0Rochdale
  • L5 SeptRochdale1-4Gillingham
  • W1 SeptRochdale3-0Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

Last 6 matches

WLLLLD

1

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

5-11

Goals

  • D26 SeptSwindon Town1-1Accrington Stanley
  • L22 SeptSwindon Town0-2Newport County
  • L19 SeptSalford City1-0Swindon Town
  • L15 SeptSwindon Town1-2Crystal Palace U21
  • L12 SeptYork City4-0Swindon Town
  • W5 SeptSwindon Town3-1Colchester United

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Rochdale

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
1
Nils Ramming
26
Sam Sherring
2
Charlie Tasker
44
Aden Flint
3
Kaiden Wilson
14
Edward Francis
18
Jon Smith
8
Harvey Gilmour
17
Babajide Adeeko
45
Glenn Middleton
39
Dajaune Brown

Substitutes

IH
Ian Henderson
#40 · SUB
SB
Sam Beckwith
#33 · SUB
ZS
Zain Silcott-Duberry
#11 · SUB
LH
Luke Hannant
#19 · SUB
CH
Cian Hayes
#7 · SUB
SW
Sam Waller
#20 · SUB
ED
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
#9 · SUB
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

4-4-2
1
Connor Ripley
6
James Ball
34
Billy Kirkman
5
Stephan Negru
21
Kaelan Majekodunmi
25
Shaun Thomson
7
Tom Nichols
27
Anthony Munda
26
Dan Butler
29
Antwoine Hackford
23
Aaron Drinan

Substitutes

LM
Louis Millard
#39 · SUB
LW
Lewis Ward
#12 · SUB
DB
Daniel Butterworth
#14 · SUB
JD
James Debayo
#18 · SUB
JH
Joseph Hungbo
#15 · SUB
OC
Ollie Clarke
#8 · SUB
JP
Jaylan Pearman
#22 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.