League Two

League Two

Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:00Mornflake Stadium, Crewe

Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Crewe Alexandra v Rochdale in the League Two.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Crewe Alexandra (49%)

Large sample · 12/12 matches
1 · Crewe Alexandra
49%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Rochdale
23%

Expected goals

Crewe Alexandra 1.46 · Rochdale 0.91

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (13%) · 0-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 12 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Crewe Alexandra went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6.
  • Rochdale went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10.
  • At home, Crewe Alexandra have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Rochdale have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
  • In Crewe Alexandra's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Rochdale's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Crewe Alexandra

Crewe Alexandra

Last 6 matches

DWDWLW

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

12-6

Goals

  • W10 OctSwindon Town0-1Crewe Alexandra
  • L6 OctBlackpool2-2Crewe Alexandra
  • W3 OctCrewe Alexandra3-1Bristol Rovers
  • D26 SeptRotherham United1-1Crewe Alexandra
  • W22 SeptCrewe Alexandra4-1Aston Villa U21
  • D19 SeptCrewe Alexandra1-1Shrewsbury Town
Rochdale

Rochdale

Last 6 matches

WLWWLD

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

9-10

Goals

  • D10 OctTranmere Rovers1-1Rochdale
  • L6 OctHuddersfield Town5-0Rochdale
  • W3 OctRochdale1-0Swindon Town
  • W26 SeptFleetwood Town1-2Rochdale
  • L22 SeptRochdale3-3Liverpool U21
  • W19 SeptRochdale2-0Oldham Athletic

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Crewe Alexandra

Crewe Alexandra

4-2-3-1
1
Tom Booth
2
Lewis Billington
4
Kyle Ure
6
Luke Offord
12
Joshua Stephenson
10
Joe White
11
Joel Tabiner
19
Owen Lunt
17
Matús Holícek
14
Jordan Gibson
9
Josh March

Substitutes

SD
Stan Dancey
#30 · SUB
CA
Calum Agius
#20 · SUB
RH
Reece Hutchinson
#3 · SUB
CT
Conor Thomas
#8 · SUB
AT
Adrien Thibaut
#29 · SUB
CM
Charlie McNeill
#23 · SUB
IL
Ian Lawlor
#13 · SUB
Rochdale

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
20
Sam Waller
13
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
2
Charlie Tasker
44
Aden Flint
3
Kaiden Wilson
17
Babajide Adeeko
7
Cian Hayes
8
Harvey Gilmour
21
Kane Taylor
45
Glenn Middleton
39
Dajaune Brown

Substitutes

LH
Luke Hannant
#19 · SUB
ED
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
#9 · SUB
SS
Sam Sherring
#26 · SUB
EF
Edward Francis
#14 · SUB
JS
Jake Spaven
#12 · SUB
ZS
Zain Silcott-Duberry
#11 · SUB
SB
Sam Beckwith
#33 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.