League One

League One

Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 13:30Kenilworth Road, Luton

Luton Town vs Notts County: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Luton Town v Notts County in the League One.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Luton Town vs Notts County prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Luton Town (49%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Luton Town
49%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Notts County
25%

Expected goals

Luton Town 1.63 · Notts County 1.10

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Luton Town went into this match with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6.
  • Notts County went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2.
  • Away from home, Notts County have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • In Luton Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Notts County's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Luton Town

Luton Town

Last 5 matches

WWWWW

5

Wins

0

Draws

0

Losses

14-6

Goals

  • W15 AugReading3-4Luton Town
  • W8 AugGillingham0-3Luton Town
  • W2 MayBolton Wanderers2-3Luton Town
  • W25 AprLuton Town2-1Barnsley
  • W21 AprRotherham United0-2Luton Town
Notts County

Notts County

Last 5 matches

WDWDD

2

Wins

3

Draws

0

Losses

6-2

Goals

  • D15 AugNotts County1-1Leicester City
  • D8 AugBurnley1-1Notts County
  • W25 MayNotts County3-0Salford City
  • D15 MayNotts County0-0Chesterfield
  • W10 MayChesterfield0-1Notts County

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Luton Town

Luton Town

4-1-4-1
24
Joshua Keeley
25
Isaiah Jones
3
Kal Naismith
5
Mads Andersen
6
George Johnston
8
Liam Walsh
7
Jake Richards
18
Jordan Clark
45
Kasey Palmer
11
Emilio Lawrence
21
Nahki Wells

Substitutes

JJ
Joseph Johnson
#12 · SUB
CM
Callum Marshall
#9 · SUB
BB
Benedict Benagr
#31 · SUB
JS
James Shea
#1 · SUB
HA
Harrison Ashby
#33 · SUB
HO
Hakeem Odofin
#2 · SUB
GK
Gideon Kodua
#30 · SUB
Notts County

Notts County

5-3-2
1
James Belshaw
25
Nicholas Tsaroulla
14
Darius Lipsiuc
4
Jacob Bedeau
12
Lucas Ness
2
James Gibbons
8
Oliver Cooper
20
Scott Robertson
15
Jack Evans
7
Callum Roberts
19
Luka Smyth

Substitutes

CG
Conor Grant
#11 · SUB
MB
Matthew Baker
#44 · SUB
LN
Lee Ndlovu
#39 · SUB
IS
Ishé Samuels-Smith
#26 · SUB
MK
Maziar Kouhyar
#17 · SUB
HM
Hindolo Mustapha
#42 · SUB
HG
Harry Griffiths
#21 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.