League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage in the League One.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: AFC Wimbledon have a slight edge (36% against 34%) and the draw sits at 30%. It expects 1.2 goals from AFC Wimbledon and 1.1 from Stevenage: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: AFC Wimbledon (36%)
Medium sample · 10/9 matches- 1 · AFC Wimbledon
- 36%
- X · Draw
- 30%
- 2 · Stevenage
- 34%
Expected goals
AFC Wimbledon 1.20 · Stevenage 1.15
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% |
| AFC Wimbledon or draw (1X) | 66% |
| AFC Wimbledon to score | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Stevenage to score | 64% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 35% |
| AFC Wimbledon (draw no bet) | 52% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 10 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- AFC Wimbledon come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
- Stevenage come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
- At home, AFC Wimbledon have won 2 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Stevenage have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
- In AFC Wimbledon's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
- In Stevenage's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
AFC Wimbledon
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
6-5
Goals
- D26 SeptCambridge United1-1AFC Wimbledon
- D17 SeptAFC Wimbledon0-0Milton Keynes Dons
- W12 SeptAFC Wimbledon1-0Doncaster Rovers
- W7 SeptBromley0-2AFC Wimbledon
- L2 SeptBurton Albion4-1AFC Wimbledon
- W30 AugAFC Wimbledon1-0Wigan Athletic
Stevenage
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
9-8
Goals
- L19 SeptLeyton Orient1-0Stevenage
- W10 SeptStevenage2-1Luton Town
- W5 SeptBarnsley1-5Stevenage
- D1 SeptPeterborough United0-0Stevenage
- D29 AugStevenage2-2Doncaster Rovers
- L25 AugStevenage0-3Reading
Line-ups
AFC Wimbledon
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Stevenage
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage: FAQ
What time is AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage?
AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 3 October at 16:00 (Spain time), at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London.
Who is the favourite in AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, AFC Wimbledon are favourites, with a 36% chance of winning. Full split: AFC Wimbledon 36%, draw 30%, Stevenage 34%. Expected goals: 1.2 - 1.2.
What is the most likely AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage?
The model gives a 49% chance of both teams scoring and 44% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.