League One
Peterborough United vs Notts County: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Peterborough United v Notts County in the League One.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Peterborough United vs Notts County prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Peterborough United have a slight edge (40% against 31%) and the draw sits at 28%. It expects 1.4 goals from Peterborough United and 1.2 from Notts County: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Peterborough United (40%)
Medium sample · 11/8 matches- 1 · Peterborough United
- 40%
- X · Draw
- 28%
- 2 · Notts County
- 31%
Expected goals
Peterborough United 1.36 · Notts County 1.17
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-0 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% |
| Peterborough United to score | 69% |
| Peterborough United or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Notts County to score | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Peterborough United come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9.
- Notts County come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8.
- At home, Peterborough United have not won any of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Notts County have not won any of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
- In Peterborough United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Notts County's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Peterborough United
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
5-9
Goals
- L26 SeptStockport County1-0Peterborough United
- L19 SeptPeterborough United0-2Doncaster Rovers
- D15 SeptPeterborough United3-3Barnsley
- D12 SeptMilton Keynes Dons1-1Peterborough United
- L5 SeptPeterborough United1-2Sheffield Wednesday
- D1 SeptPeterborough United0-0Stevenage
Notts County
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
6-8
Goals
- L19 SeptReading2-0Notts County
- L12 SeptNotts County0-1Bradford City
- D5 SeptHuddersfield Town1-1Notts County
- D1 SeptDoncaster Rovers1-1Notts County
- W29 AugNotts County2-1Burton Albion
- D22 AugLuton Town2-2Notts County
Line-ups
Peterborough United
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Notts County
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Peterborough United vs Notts County: FAQ
What time is Peterborough United vs Notts County?
Peterborough United vs Notts County (League One) kicks off on Saturday 3 October at 16:00 (Spain time), at London Road Stadium, Peterborough.
Who is the favourite in Peterborough United vs Notts County?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Peterborough United are favourites, with a 40% chance of winning. Full split: Peterborough United 40%, draw 28%, Notts County 31%. Expected goals: 1.4 - 1.2.
What is the most likely Peterborough United vs Notts County score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 1-0 (10%) and 0-0 (9%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Peterborough United vs Notts County?
The model gives a 52% chance of both teams scoring and 47% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.