League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool in the League One.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Blackpool have a slight edge (39% against 34%) and the draw sits at 27%. It expects 1.3 goals from AFC Wimbledon and 1.4 from Blackpool: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Blackpool (39%)
Large sample · 16/15 matches- 1 · AFC Wimbledon
- 34%
- X · Draw
- 27%
- 2 · Blackpool
- 39%
Expected goals
AFC Wimbledon 1.32 · Blackpool 1.42
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 1-2 (9%) · 0-1 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Blackpool to score | 70% |
| AFC Wimbledon to score | 68% |
| Blackpool or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 44% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- AFC Wimbledon come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 15.
- Blackpool come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10.
- At home, AFC Wimbledon have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Blackpool have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- In AFC Wimbledon's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Blackpool's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 18th and Blackpool 19th (13 and 12 points). AFC Wimbledon sit 1 place higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
AFC Wimbledon
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
4-15
Goals
- L7 NovCrewe Alexandra2-1AFC Wimbledon
- L31 OctStockport County2-1AFC Wimbledon
- L27 OctAFC Wimbledon1-2Arsenal U21
- D24 OctAFC Wimbledon1-1Wycombe Wanderers
- L20 OctAFC Wimbledon0-3Mansfield Town
- L17 OctSheffield Wednesday5-0AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
9-10
Goals
- W7 NovAFC Hornchurch1-2Blackpool
- D1 NovSheffield Wednesday1-1Blackpool
- W27 OctBlackpool3-2Aston Villa U21
- L24 OctBlackpool1-4Mansfield Town
- W20 OctBlackpool2-0Milton Keynes Dons
- L17 OctLeyton Orient2-0Blackpool
Standings
AFC Wimbledon
18º
Pos.
13
Pts
13
P
Blackpool
19º
Pos.
12
Pts
12
P
Line-ups
AFC Wimbledon
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Blackpool
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: FAQ
What time is AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London.
Who is the favourite in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Blackpool are favourites, with a 39% chance of winning. Full split: AFC Wimbledon 34%, draw 27%, Blackpool 39%. Expected goals: 1.3 - 1.4.
What is the most likely AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
The model gives a 55% chance of both teams scoring and 51% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.