Championship

2-2

Full-time

Cardiff City

Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 16:00Pride Park, Derby

Derby County vs Cardiff City: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Derby County v Cardiff City in the Championship.

Data updated: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 23:24

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MBet statistical model

Derby County vs Cardiff City prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Cardiff City (40%)

Small sample · 6/5 matches

1 · Derby County: 37%
X · Draw: 23%
2 · Cardiff City: 40%

Expected goals

Derby County 1.73 · Cardiff City 1.82

Most likely scores

1-1 (10%) · 1-2 (8%) · 2-1 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Derby County went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10.
Cardiff City went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10.
At home, Derby County have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
In Derby County's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
In Cardiff City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.
In the table, Derby County are 19th and Cardiff City 15th (0 and 1 points). Cardiff City sit 4 places higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Derby County

Last 6 matches

WLWLLL

Wins

Draws

Losses

8-10

Goals

L15 AugCharlton Athletic2-1Derby County
L8 AugDerby County1-2Lincoln City
L2 MayDerby County1-2Sheffield United
W25 AprQueens Park Rangers2-3Derby County
L21 AprNorwich City2-1Derby County
W18 AprDerby County FC1-0Oxford United FC

Cardiff City

Last 5 matches

WLWWD

Wins

Draws

Losses

17-10

Goals

D17 AugCardiff City1-1Wrexham
W8 AugCardiff City3-2Swindon Town
W1 AugCardiff City4-1AS Roma
L2 MayMansfield Town5-4Cardiff City
W25 AprCardiff City5-1Northampton Town

Standings

Derby County

19º

Pos.

Pts

Cardiff City

15º

Pos.

Pts

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Derby County

4-2-3-1

Jacob Widell Zetterström

Max Johnston

Charlie Taylor

Dion Sanderson

Sondre Langas

Alex Mowatt

Bobby Clark

Lewis Travis

Oscar Fraulo

Corey Taylor

Carlton Morris

Substitutes

Owen Eames

#37 · SUB

Joe Ward

#23 · SUB

Lars Jorgen Salvesen

#15 · SUB

Josh Vickers

#31 · SUB

Rhian Brewster

#10 · SUB

Ryan Hedges

#26 · SUB

Ryan Nyambe

#24 · SUB

Craig Forsyth

#3 · SUB

Filip Bilbija

#13 · SUB

Cardiff City

4-2-3-1

Nathan Trott

Ronan Kpakio

Calum Scanlon

Perry Ng

Joel Bagan

Alex Robertson

Ollie Tanner

Jack Moylan

Rubin Colwill

Cian Ashford

Yousef Salech

Substitutes

Callum Robinson

#47 · SUB

Joel Colwill

#27 · SUB

Isaak Davies

#39 · SUB

Matthew Turner

#41 · SUB

Harry Tyrer

#30 · SUB

Noah Dafydd Anyadike

#40 · SUB

David Turnbull

#14 · SUB

Rob Tankiewicz

#33 · SUB

Chris Willock

#16 · SUB

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