Championship
Birmingham City vs Swansea City: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Birmingham City v Swansea City in the Championship.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Birmingham City vs Swansea City prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Birmingham City, with a 45% chance of winning. It expects 1.5 goals from Birmingham City and 1.2 from Swansea City: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Birmingham City (45%)
Large sample · 16/15 matches- 1 · Birmingham City
- 45%
- X · Draw
- 27%
- 2 · Swansea City
- 28%
Expected goals
Birmingham City 1.54 · Swansea City 1.18
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (9%) · 2-1 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Birmingham City to score | 73% |
| Birmingham City or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% |
| Swansea City to score | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Birmingham City come in with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 2.
- Swansea City come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10.
- At home, Birmingham City have won 3 of their last 3 matches (3.3 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Swansea City have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded on average).
- In Birmingham City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
- In Swansea City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
- In the table, Birmingham City are 4th and Swansea City 6th (26 and 26 points). Birmingham City sit 2 places higher.
- Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings: 2 wins for Birmingham City, 0 for Swansea City and 1 draw, with 1.3 goals per match.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Birmingham City
Last 6 matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
14-2
Goals
- W3 NovBirmingham City3-0Millwall
- W31 OctLincoln City1-3Birmingham City
- L24 OctCardiff City1-0Birmingham City
- W17 OctBirmingham City3-0Queens Park Rangers
- W13 OctBirmingham City4-0Preston North End
- W10 OctWest Bromwich Albion0-1Birmingham City

Swansea City
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
8-10
Goals
- L3 NovPortsmouth3-1Swansea City
- W31 OctSwansea City4-0Blackburn Rovers
- L24 OctQueens Park Rangers5-0Swansea City
- L17 OctSwansea City0-1West Ham United
- W13 OctMillwall0-1Swansea City
- W10 OctSwansea City2-1Norwich City
Standings
Birmingham City
4º
Pos.
26
Pts
14
P
Swansea City
6º
Pos.
26
Pts
14
P
Line-ups

Birmingham City
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Swansea City
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Swansea City
0 - 1
8 Aug
Birmingham City
Swansea City AFC
1 - 1
17 Jan
Birmingham City FC
Birmingham City FC
1 - 0
20 Sept
Swansea City AFC
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.