Championship

Championship

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 16:00St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

Birmingham City vs Swansea City: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Birmingham City v Swansea City in the Championship.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Birmingham City vs Swansea City prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Birmingham City, with a 45% chance of winning. It expects 1.5 goals from Birmingham City and 1.2 from Swansea City: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Birmingham City (45%)

Large sample · 16/15 matches
1 · Birmingham City
45%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Swansea City
28%

Expected goals

Birmingham City 1.54 · Swansea City 1.18

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (9%) · 2-1 (9%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Birmingham City to score73%
Birmingham City or draw (1X)72%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Under 3.5 goals66%
Swansea City to score65%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.542%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Correct score 1-113%

Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Birmingham City come in with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 2.
  • Swansea City come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10.
  • At home, Birmingham City have won 3 of their last 3 matches (3.3 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Swansea City have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded on average).
  • In Birmingham City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
  • In Swansea City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In the table, Birmingham City are 4th and Swansea City 6th (26 and 26 points). Birmingham City sit 2 places higher.
  • Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings: 2 wins for Birmingham City, 0 for Swansea City and 1 draw, with 1.3 goals per match.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Birmingham City

Birmingham City

Last 6 matches

WWWLWW

5

Wins

0

Draws

1

Losses

14-2

Goals

  • W3 NovBirmingham City3-0Millwall
  • W31 OctLincoln City1-3Birmingham City
  • L24 OctCardiff City1-0Birmingham City
  • W17 OctBirmingham City3-0Queens Park Rangers
  • W13 OctBirmingham City4-0Preston North End
  • W10 OctWest Bromwich Albion0-1Birmingham City
Swansea City

Swansea City

Last 6 matches

WWLLWL

3

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

8-10

Goals

  • L3 NovPortsmouth3-1Swansea City
  • W31 OctSwansea City4-0Blackburn Rovers
  • L24 OctQueens Park Rangers5-0Swansea City
  • L17 OctSwansea City0-1West Ham United
  • W13 OctMillwall0-1Swansea City
  • W10 OctSwansea City2-1Norwich City

Standings

Birmingham City

Birmingham City

4º

Pos.

26

Pts

14

P

Swansea City

Swansea City

6º

Pos.

26

Pts

14

P

Line-ups

Birmingham City

Birmingham City

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Swansea City

Swansea City

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Head-to-head

Swansea City

0 - 1

8 Aug

Birmingham City

Swansea City AFC

1 - 1

17 Jan

Birmingham City FC

Birmingham City FC

1 - 0

20 Sept

Swansea City AFC

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.