Championship
Watford vs Middlesbrough: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Watford v Middlesbrough in the Championship.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Middlesbrough, with a 51% chance of winning. It expects 1.2 goals from Watford and 1.8 from Middlesbrough: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Middlesbrough (51%)
Large sample · 16/17 matches- 1 · Watford
- 25%
- X · Draw
- 24%
- 2 · Middlesbrough
- 51%
Expected goals
Watford 1.21 · Middlesbrough 1.82
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 1-2 (10%) · 0-1 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Middlesbrough to score | 77% |
| Middlesbrough or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Middlesbrough (draw no bet) | 68% |
| Watford to score | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 48% |
| Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 11% |
Based on goals from each team's last 17 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Watford come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 13.
- Middlesbrough come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7.
- At home, Watford have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Middlesbrough have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- In Watford's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
- In Middlesbrough's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In the table, Watford are 20th and Middlesbrough 2nd (14 and 28 points). Middlesbrough sit 18 places higher.
- Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 1 win for Watford, 1 for Middlesbrough and 0 draws, with 4.5 goals per match.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Watford
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
6-13
Goals
- W3 NovWatford1-0Lincoln City
- L31 OctNorwich City3-2Watford
- L24 OctWolverhampton Wanderers1-0Watford
- W17 OctWatford2-0Charlton Athletic
- L13 OctCardiff City5-1Watford
- L10 OctWatford0-4Burnley

Middlesbrough
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
14-7
Goals
- L4 NovWrexham2-0Middlesbrough
- W31 OctMiddlesbrough3-0Charlton Athletic
- W23 OctBolton Wanderers1-5Middlesbrough
- D17 OctMiddlesbrough2-2Cardiff City
- W13 OctStoke City2-3Middlesbrough
- W10 OctMiddlesbrough1-0Wolverhampton Wanderers
Standings
Watford
20º
Pos.
14
Pts
14
P
Middlesbrough
2º
Pos.
28
Pts
14
P
Line-ups

Watford
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Middlesbrough
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Middlesbrough FC
5 - 1
25 Apr
Watford FC
Watford FC
3 - 0
1 Nov
Middlesbrough FC
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.