Championship

Championship

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 16:00Vicarage Road, Watford

Watford vs Middlesbrough: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Watford v Middlesbrough in the Championship.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Middlesbrough, with a 51% chance of winning. It expects 1.2 goals from Watford and 1.8 from Middlesbrough: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Middlesbrough (51%)

Large sample · 16/17 matches
1 · Watford
25%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Middlesbrough
51%

Expected goals

Watford 1.21 · Middlesbrough 1.82

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 1-2 (10%) · 0-1 (8%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Middlesbrough to score77%
Middlesbrough or draw (X2)75%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Middlesbrough (draw no bet)68%
Watford to score65%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.548%
Middlesbrough over 1.5 goals53%
Correct score 1-111%

Based on goals from each team's last 17 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Watford come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 13.
  • Middlesbrough come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Watford have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Middlesbrough have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • In Watford's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In Middlesbrough's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In the table, Watford are 20th and Middlesbrough 2nd (14 and 28 points). Middlesbrough sit 18 places higher.
  • Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 1 win for Watford, 1 for Middlesbrough and 0 draws, with 4.5 goals per match.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Watford

Watford

Last 6 matches

LLWLLW

2

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

6-13

Goals

  • W3 NovWatford1-0Lincoln City
  • L31 OctNorwich City3-2Watford
  • L24 OctWolverhampton Wanderers1-0Watford
  • W17 OctWatford2-0Charlton Athletic
  • L13 OctCardiff City5-1Watford
  • L10 OctWatford0-4Burnley
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Last 6 matches

WWDWWL

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

14-7

Goals

  • L4 NovWrexham2-0Middlesbrough
  • W31 OctMiddlesbrough3-0Charlton Athletic
  • W23 OctBolton Wanderers1-5Middlesbrough
  • D17 OctMiddlesbrough2-2Cardiff City
  • W13 OctStoke City2-3Middlesbrough
  • W10 OctMiddlesbrough1-0Wolverhampton Wanderers

Standings

Watford

Watford

20º

Pos.

14

Pts

14

P

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2º

Pos.

28

Pts

14

P

Line-ups

Watford

Watford

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough FC

5 - 1

25 Apr

Watford FC

Watford FC

3 - 0

1 Nov

Middlesbrough FC

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.

Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction (07/11): preview and AI analysis | MBet AI