Scottish Championship

Scottish Championship

Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 16:00Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

Livingston vs Ayr United: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Livingston v Ayr United in the Scottish Championship.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Livingston vs Ayr United prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Livingston (50%)

Medium sample · 8/8 matches
1 · Livingston
50%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Ayr United
22%

Expected goals

Livingston 1.48 · Ayr United 0.89

Most likely scores

1-0 (13%) · 1-1 (13%) · 2-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Livingston went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5.
  • Ayr United went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8.
  • At home, Livingston have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Ayr United have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Livingston's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In Ayr United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Livingston

Livingston

Last 6 matches

WLLWDW

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

10-5

Goals

  • W25 SeptRaith Rovers0-2Livingston
  • D19 SeptLivingston2-2Inverness Caledonian Thistle
  • W11 SeptGreenock Morton1-4Livingston
  • L4 SeptLivingston0-1Stenhousemuir
  • L29 AugArbroath1-0Livingston
  • W22 AugLivingston2-0Dunfermline Athletic
Ayr United

Ayr United

Last 6 matches

LDLLWL

1

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

4-8

Goals

  • L25 SeptAyr United0-1Stenhousemuir
  • W18 SeptQueen's Park0-2Ayr United
  • L12 SeptAyr United1-3Inverness Caledonian Thistle
  • L5 SeptPartick Thistle1-0Ayr United
  • D29 AugAyr United1-1Greenock Morton
  • L22 AugRaith Rovers2-0Ayr United

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Livingston

Livingston

4-3-3
28
Jérôme Prior
22
Jordan Doherty
26
Cristian Montano
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
5
Ryan McGowan
20
Emmanuel Danso
8
Scott Pittman
16
Cameron Palmer
9
Robbie Muirhead
7
Tyrese Sinclair
19
Bradly van Hoeven

Substitutes

GC
Graham Carey
#27 · SUB
CK
Cameron Kerr
#2 · SUB
JH
Jack Hamilton
#14 · SUB
AD
Aidan Denholm
#6 · SUB
BA
Bruce Anderson
#25 · SUB
SM
Stevie May
#17 · SUB
JW
Jack Wilkie
#4 · SUB
SB
Shane Blaney
#30 · SUB
LP
Liam Polworth
#39 · SUB
Ayr United

Ayr United

3-4-3
1
Harry Stone
3
Liam Dick
5
Kevin Holt
8
Leon Thomson King
32
Dylan Watret
33
Scott McMann
6
Reece Lyon
20
Luke Mcbeth
7
Owen Stirton
12
Olly Whyte
11
Ross Taylor

Substitutes

EW
Ethan Walker
#21 · SUB
KM
Kenzie Mitchell
#25 · SUB
KS
Kieran Shanks
#10 · SUB
LR
Liam Russell
#38 · SUB
BS
Ben Summers
#16 · SUB
NM
Nicholas Mcallister
#2 · SUB
JD
Jamie Douglas
#34 · SUB
JL
Josh Landers
#9 · SUB
TH
Thomas Hatton
#17 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.