Scottish Championship
Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Greenock Morton v Ayr United in the Scottish Championship.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Greenock Morton vs Ayr United prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Ayr United have a slight edge (35% against 34%) and the draw sits at 30%. It expects 1.1 goals from Greenock Morton and 1.1 from Ayr United: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 58%). Both teams to score: yes at 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Ayr United (35%)
Medium sample · 11/11 matches- 1 · Greenock Morton
- 34%
- X · Draw
- 30%
- 2 · Ayr United
- 35%
Expected goals
Greenock Morton 1.12 · Ayr United 1.14
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 0-0 (11%) · 0-1 (11%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| Ayr United or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Greenock Morton or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Ayr United to score | 64% |
| Greenock Morton to score | 63% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 32% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Greenock Morton come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10.
- Ayr United come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
- At home, Greenock Morton have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Ayr United have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- In Greenock Morton's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Ayr United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Greenock Morton
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
6-10
Goals
- W17 OctGreenock Morton2-0Queen's Park
- W10 OctArbroath1-2Greenock Morton
- L3 OctGreenock Morton1-2Raith Rovers
- L25 SeptInverness Caledonian Thistle2-0Greenock Morton
- L19 SeptGreenock Morton0-1Dunfermline Athletic
- L11 SeptGreenock Morton1-4Livingston
Ayr United
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
6-7
Goals
- L16 OctAyr United0-1Partick Thistle
- D10 OctAyr United1-1Dunfermline Athletic
- W3 OctLivingston1-2Ayr United
- L25 SeptAyr United0-1Stenhousemuir
- W18 SeptQueen's Park0-2Ayr United
- L12 SeptAyr United1-3Inverness Caledonian Thistle
Line-ups
Greenock Morton
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Ayr United
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Ayr United
1 - 1
29 Aug
Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: FAQ
What time is Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
Greenock Morton vs Ayr United (Scottish Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October at 16:00 (Spain time), at Cappielow Park, Greenock.
Who is the favourite in Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Ayr United are favourites, with a 35% chance of winning. Full split: Greenock Morton 34%, draw 30%, Ayr United 35%. Expected goals: 1.1 - 1.1.
What is the most likely Greenock Morton vs Ayr United score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 0-0 (11%) and 0-1 (11%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
The model gives a 47% chance of both teams scoring and 42% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
What happened in the last Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
The last recorded meeting was on 29 Aug: Ayr United 1-1 Greenock Morton (Championship escocesa). This page lists 1 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.