Scottish Championship
Arbroath vs Ayr United: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Arbroath v Ayr United in the Scottish Championship.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Arbroath vs Ayr United prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Ayr United, with a 41% chance of winning. It expects 1.0 goals from Arbroath and 1.2 from Ayr United: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 60%). Both teams to score: yes at 46%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Ayr United (41%)
Large sample · 13/12 matches- 1 · Arbroath
- 29%
- X · Draw
- 31%
- 2 · Ayr United
- 41%
Expected goals
Arbroath 0.97 · Ayr United 1.21
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 0-1 (13%) · 0-0 (12%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% |
| Ayr United or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Ayr United to score | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Arbroath or draw (1X) | 59% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 30% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 13 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Arbroath come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 12.
- Ayr United come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6.
- At home, Arbroath have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Ayr United have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- In Arbroath's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
- In Ayr United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In the table, Arbroath are 8th and Ayr United 7th (11 and 15 points). Ayr United sit 1 place higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Arbroath
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
2-12
Goals
- W3 NovArbroath1-0Queen of the South
- L31 OctArbroath0-4Raith Rovers
- L24 OctLivingston1-0Arbroath
- L17 OctInverness Caledonian Thistle2-0Arbroath
- L10 OctArbroath1-2Greenock Morton
- L3 OctPartick Thistle3-0Arbroath
Ayr United
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
8-6
Goals
- W3 NovAnnan Athletic0-2Ayr United
- W31 OctAyr United3-2Queen's Park
- L16 OctAyr United0-1Partick Thistle
- D10 OctAyr United1-1Dunfermline Athletic
- W3 OctLivingston1-2Ayr United
- L25 SeptAyr United0-1Stenhousemuir
Standings
Arbroath
8º
Pos.
11
Pts
13
P
Ayr United
7º
Pos.
15
Pts
12
P
Line-ups
Arbroath
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Ayr United
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Ayr United
2 - 0
1 Aug
Arbroath
Arbroath vs Ayr United: FAQ
What time is Arbroath vs Ayr United?
Arbroath vs Ayr United (Scottish Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at Gayfield Park, Arbroath.
Who is the favourite in Arbroath vs Ayr United?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Ayr United are favourites, with a 41% chance of winning. Full split: Arbroath 29%, draw 31%, Ayr United 41%. Expected goals: 1.0 - 1.2.
What is the most likely Arbroath vs Ayr United score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 0-1 (13%) and 0-0 (12%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Ayr United?
The model gives a 46% chance of both teams scoring and 40% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
What happened in the last Arbroath vs Ayr United?
The last recorded meeting was on 1 Aug: Ayr United 2-0 Arbroath (Championship escocesa). This page lists 1 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.