Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership

3-1

Full-time
Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:00Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Aberdeen vs St Mirren: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Aberdeen v St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Aberdeen vs St Mirren prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Aberdeen (48%)

Medium sample · 8/8 matches
1 · Aberdeen
48%
X · Draw
28%
2 · St Mirren
24%

Expected goals

Aberdeen 1.49 · St Mirren 0.99

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (12%) · 2-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Aberdeen went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4.
  • St Mirren went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 14.
  • At home, Aberdeen have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, St Mirren have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Aberdeen's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In St Mirren's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Last 6 matches

DWWDWL

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

10-4

Goals

  • L11 OctAberdeen0-1St Johnstone
  • W3 OctDunfermline Athletic1-4Aberdeen
  • D19 SeptHibernian1-1Aberdeen
  • W15 SeptMotherwell0-4Aberdeen
  • W12 SeptKilmarnock1-1Aberdeen
  • D5 SeptAberdeen0-0Kilmarnock
St Mirren

St Mirren

Last 6 matches

DWLLLL

1

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

5-14

Goals

  • L10 OctHeart of Midlothian5-0St Mirren
  • L19 SeptSt Mirren0-3Dundee United
  • L9 SeptRangers1-0St Mirren
  • L5 SeptSt Mirren1-2Celtic
  • W2 SeptKilmarnock0-1St Mirren
  • D30 AugSt Mirren3-3Motherwell

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
27
Marius Müller
28
Christopher Cadden
24
Nesta Guinness-Walker
23
Lewis Mayo
5
Mats Knoester
32
Aremu Afeez
11
Lewis Smith
8
Brad Lyons
25
Connor Ronan
20
Toyosi Olusanya
15
Kevin Nisbet

Substitutes

SA
Stuart Armstrong
#17 · SUB
FM
Findlay Marshall
#40 · SUB
AM
Ayoub Mouloua
#9 · SUB
JM
Jack Milne
#22 · SUB
TY
Tony Yogane
#7 · SUB
DK
Daniel Klein
#30 · SUB
DH
Daniel Happe
#26 · SUB
GM
Gavin Molloy
#21 · SUB
EG
Emmanuel Gyamfi
#77 · SUB
St Mirren

St Mirren

4-4-2
1
Jacob Chapman
47
Calvin Ramsay
3
Declan John
13
Alexander Gogic
22
Marcus Fraser
8
Ryan Carr
16
Luke Thomas
48
Paul Nsio
19
Ismeal Kabia
88
Killian Phillips
9
Eseosa Sule

Substitutes

JY
Jake Young
#20 · SUB
CM
Carrick Mcevoy
#37 · SUB
LJ
Louis Jackson
#6 · SUB
FT
Fraser Taylor
#30 · SUB
HF
Henry Fieldson
#53 · SUB
LD
Liam Donnelly
#4 · SUB
SR
Samuel Ramos
#10 · SUB
CM
Chris Mochrie
#23 · SUB
GT
Grant Tamosevicius
#35 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.