Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:00The BBSP Stadium, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Kilmarnock v Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Motherwell (38%)

Medium sample · 8/8 matches
1 · Kilmarnock
36%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Motherwell
38%

Expected goals

Kilmarnock 1.42 · Motherwell 1.47

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (9%) · 2-1 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Kilmarnock went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6.
  • Motherwell went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 12.
  • At home, Kilmarnock have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Motherwell have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Kilmarnock's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Motherwell's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Last 6 matches

LDLWDL

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

4-6

Goals

  • L10 OctRangers3-1Kilmarnock
  • D19 SeptKilmarnock1-1Heart of Midlothian
  • W15 SeptHibernian0-1Kilmarnock
  • L12 SeptKilmarnock1-1Aberdeen
  • D5 SeptAberdeen0-0Kilmarnock
  • L2 SeptKilmarnock0-1St Mirren
Motherwell

Motherwell

Last 6 matches

DWLLLL

1

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

7-12

Goals

  • L11 OctMotherwell0-2Celtic
  • L19 SeptDundee2-1Motherwell
  • L15 SeptMotherwell0-4Aberdeen
  • L5 SeptRangers1-0Motherwell
  • W2 SeptMotherwell3-0Dundee United
  • D30 AugSt Mirren3-3Motherwell

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
12
Calum Ferie
3
Mj Kamara
21
Michael Schjonning-Larsen
4
Cathal McCarthy
14
George Stanger
18
Tom Lowery
8
Erik Ring
49
Bailey Rice
10
Tyreece John-Jules
11
Greg Kiltie
9
Joe Hugill

Substitutes

NM
Nico Mantl
#58 · SUB
MO
Mark O'Hara
#5 · SUB
DD
Djenario Daniels
#29 · SUB
AT
Aaron Tshibola
#36 · SUB
IO
Ieuan Owen
#27 · SUB
NC
Nicky Clescenco
#20 · SUB
JM
Jonathan Meier
#19 · SUB
RD
Robbie Deas
#6 · SUB
JB
Jamie Brandon
#2 · SUB
Motherwell

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1
Alex Paulsen
7
Tom Sparrow
45
Emmanuel Longelo
2
Stephen O'Donnell
5
Martin Moormann
71
Joseph Hodge
18
Tawanda Maswanhise
8
Lukas Fadinger
11
Alexander Lowry
19
Ibrahim Sa'Id
47
Seb Palmer-Houlden

Substitutes

MC
Matty Connolly
#21 · SUB
JG
Jake Girdwood-Reich
#3 · SUB
DL
Dylan Levitt
#63 · SUB
EB
Eythor Bjørgolfsson
#15 · SUB
JM
Jordan McGhee
#6 · SUB
WG
Willy Gabriel Vogt Veigantes
#77 · SUB
JK
Jardell Kanga
#13 · SUB
JK
Jamie Knight-Lebel
#4 · SUB
JK
Johnny Koutroumbis
#22 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.