Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 03:30Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar

Alianza FC vs Atlético Nacional: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Alianza FC v Atlético Nacional in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Alianza FC vs Atlético Nacional prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético Nacional (41%)

Small sample · 5/4 matches
1 · Alianza FC
31%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Atlético Nacional
41%

Expected goals

Alianza FC 1.14 · Atlético Nacional 1.36

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 0-1 (10%) · 0-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Alianza FC went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7.
  • Atlético Nacional went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3.
  • At home, Alianza FC have not won any of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Atlético Nacional have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • In Alianza FC's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Atlético Nacional's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 4, and both teams scored in 2 of 4.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Alianza FC

Alianza FC

Last 5 matches

DLLDL

0

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

4-7

Goals

  • L26 AugCúcuta Deportivo1-0Alianza FC
  • D22 AugAlianza FC0-0Deportivo Pereira
  • L9 AugAlianza FC2-3Atlético Bucaramanga
  • L1 AugAlianza FC1-2Deportes Tolima
  • D27 JulAlianza FC1-1Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional

Last 4 matches

WLWW

3

Wins

0

Draws

1

Losses

7-3

Goals

  • W27 AugAtlético Nacional2-1Deportivo Cali
  • W23 AugFortaleza CEIF1-2Atlético Nacional
  • L10 AugAmérica de Cali1-0Atlético Nacional
  • W2 AugJaguares de Córdoba0-3Atlético Nacional

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Alianza FC

Alianza FC

4-2-3-1
1
Johan Wallens
60
Yilson Rosales
33
Jhildrey Lasso
22
Jesús Figueroa
32
Juan Viveros
6
Ever Meza
17
Felipe Pardo
23
Israel Alba
55
Wiston Fernández
8
Jesús Muñoz
18
Cristian Vergara

Substitutes

MM
Misael Martínez
#77 · SUB
JM
Joseb Mosquera
#4 · SUB
DQ
Deiner Quiñónez
#10 · SUB
EE
Eduar Esteban
#40 · SUB
JR
Jean Rojas
#29 · SUB
HR
Howenn Rada
#26 · SUB
CE
Carlos Esparragoza
#15 · SUB
PF
Pedro Franco
#5 · SUB
CV
Charly Villegas
#14 · SUB
Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional

4-2-3-1
34
Franco Armani
27
Yaicar Perlaza
33
Samuel Velásquez
3
Neider Parra
16
William Tesillo
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
7
Marlos Moreno
26
Andrés Marín
10
Edwin Cardona
29
Andrés Sarmiento
9
Alfredo Morelos

Substitutes

XR
Xavi Rios
#31 · SUB
LM
Luis Marquinez
#25 · SUB
SG
Simón García
#28 · SUB
ML
Matias Lozano
#35 · SUB
JR
Juan Rosa
#24 · SUB
KP
Kevin Parra
#30 · SUB
IP
Ian Poveda-Ocampo
#99 · SUB
CA
Cristian Arango
#17 · SUB
JZ
Juan Zapata
#80 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.

Alianza FC 1-5 Atlético Nacional: result and analysis | MBet AI