Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Monday, 9 November 2026 at 02:15Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar

Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Alianza FC v Llaneros FC in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: A balanced match: Alianza FC have a slight edge (36% against 35%) and the draw sits at 28%. It expects 1.3 goals from Alianza FC and 1.3 from Llaneros FC: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Alianza FC (36%)

Large sample · 17/17 matches
1 · Alianza FC
36%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Llaneros FC
35%

Expected goals

Alianza FC 1.28 · Llaneros FC 1.26

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (9%) · 0-1 (9%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Under 3.5 goals69%
Over 1.5 goals68%
Alianza FC to score67%
Llaneros FC to score67%
Alianza FC or draw (1X)65%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.539%
Under 2.5 goals53%
Correct score 1-113%

Based on goals from each team's last 17 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Alianza FC come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8.
  • Llaneros FC come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11.
  • At home, Alianza FC have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Llaneros FC have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Alianza FC's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Llaneros FC's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In the table, Alianza FC are 14th and Llaneros FC 13th (18 and 20 points). Llaneros FC sit 1 place higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Alianza FC

Alianza FC

Last 6 matches

LDWWLL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

6-8

Goals

  • L2 NovIndependiente Medellín2-1Alianza FC
  • L29 OctOnce Caldas1-0Alianza FC
  • W25 OctAlianza FC1-0Internacional de Bogotá
  • W20 OctDeportivo Pasto0-1Alianza FC
  • D10 OctAlianza FC2-2Águilas Doradas
  • L3 OctDeportivo Cali3-1Alianza FC
Llaneros FC

Llaneros FC

Last 6 matches

LLWLLW

2

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

5-11

Goals

  • W1 NovLlaneros FC3-2Atlético Junior
  • L27 OctJaguares de Córdoba1-0Llaneros FC
  • L22 OctLlaneros FC0-3Deportivo Cali
  • W19 OctLlaneros FC1-0Independiente Santa Fe
  • L16 OctInternacional de Bogotá4-1Llaneros FC
  • L10 OctOnce Caldas1-0Llaneros FC

Standings

Alianza FC

Alianza FC

14º

Pos.

18

Pts

17

P

Llaneros FC

Llaneros FC

13º

Pos.

20

Pts

17

P

Line-ups

Alianza FC

Alianza FC

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Llaneros FC

Llaneros FC

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.