Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 23:05Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Bucaramanga: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Deportes Tolima v Atlético Bucaramanga in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Bucaramanga prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Deportes Tolima (40%)

Small sample · 5/4 matches
1 · Deportes Tolima
40%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Atlético Bucaramanga
33%

Expected goals

Deportes Tolima 1.46 · Atlético Bucaramanga 1.30

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Deportes Tolima went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9.
  • Atlético Bucaramanga went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Deportes Tolima have won 2 of their last 4 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Atlético Bucaramanga have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Deportes Tolima's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Atlético Bucaramanga's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Last 6 matches

WLWLWL

3

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

9-9

Goals

  • L19 AugDeportes Tolima0-1Independiente del Valle
  • W9 AugDeportes Tolima2-1Internacional de Bogotá
  • L5 AugDeportes Tolima2-3Independiente Medellín
  • W1 AugAlianza FC1-2Deportes Tolima
  • L29 JulDeportes Quindío2-1Deportes Tolima
  • W26 JulDeportes Tolima2-1Atlético Junior
Atlético Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga

Last 5 matches

LWDDW

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

7-6

Goals

  • W9 AugAlianza FC2-3Atlético Bucaramanga
  • D4 AugAtlético Bucaramanga1-1Cúcuta Deportivo
  • D31 JulAtlético Bucaramanga1-1Llaneros FC
  • W26 JulMillonarios0-1Atlético Bucaramanga
  • L24 MayAlianza FC2-1Atlético Bucaramanga

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

4-2-3-1
1
Neto
17
Cristian Arrieta
20
Junior Hernández
71
Yordan Osorio
2
Anderson Angulo
32
Sebastián Guzmán
7
Jorge Cabezas
14
Homer Martínez
10
Luis Sánchez
24
Adrián Parra
15
Sergio Aguayo

Substitutes

KF
Kelvin Florez
#18 · SUB
DP
Daniel Pedrozo
#4 · SUB
MO
Miguel Ortega
#13 · SUB
YM
Yoimar Moreno
#31 · SUB
JA
Jan Angulo
#3 · SUB
VR
Victor Reyes
#16 · SUB
JV
Jader Valencia
#11 · SUB
SJ
Santiago Joven
#19 · SUB
JM
Jherson Mosquera
#33 · SUB
Atlético Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga

3-4-3
25
Cristopher Fiermarin
4
José Daniel García
24
José Ortiz
23
Carlos Romaña
6
Nilson Castrillón
8
Fredy Hinestroza
21
Felix Charrupí
28
Leonardo Flores
27
Luciano Pons
10
Fabián Sambueza
17
Enmerson Batalla

Substitutes

BC
Brandon Caicedo
#9 · SUB
AG
Aldair Gutiérrez
#19 · SUB
DN
Diego Novoa
#12 · SUB
EC
Edwin Castro
#22 · SUB
FS
Fredy Salazar
#11 · SUB
KL
Kevin Londoño
#7 · SUB
AZ
Aldair Zárate
#20 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.