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Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 01:00Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Atlante vs Toluca: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atlante v Toluca in the Liga MX.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Atlante vs Toluca prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlante (39%)

Small sample · 6/6 matches
1 · Atlante
39%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Toluca
35%

Expected goals

Atlante 1.52 · Toluca 1.45

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Atlante went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 12.
  • Toluca went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8.
  • In Atlante's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Toluca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Atlante

Atlante

Last 6 matches

LDWWLL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

7-12

Goals

  • L12 AugMinnesota United FC3-1Atlante
  • L9 AugReal Salt Lake4-0Atlante
  • W5 AugVancouver Whitecaps0-1Atlante
  • W2 AugCruz Azul2-3Atlante
  • D25 JulAtlante1-1América
  • L17 JulNecaxa2-1Atlante
Toluca

Toluca

Last 6 matches

LLWWLW

3

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

11-8

Goals

  • W13 AugToluca3-1FC Dallas
  • L9 AugToluca0-1LAFC
  • W6 AugToluca3-0Seattle Sounders FC
  • W3 AugToluca3-1Necaxa
  • L26 JulToluca1-3Cruz Azul
  • L22 JulToluca1-2Pumas UNAM

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Atlante

Atlante

5-3-2
1
Óscar Jiménez
29
Walter Portales
34
Edgar Jiménez
44
Aarón Quirós
4
Eduardo Tercero
6
Nicolás Carrera
10
Octavio Vásquez
8
Eugenio Pizzuto
19
Luis Calzadilla
7
Jhojan Julio
9
Luis Puente

Substitutes

WC
Walter Clar
#37 · SUB
MG
Maximiliano Garcia
#13 · SUB
LS
Luis Sánchez
#3 · SUB
JG
José González
#16 · SUB
JI
Javier Ibarra
#21 · SUB
CA
Cristóbal Alfaro
#14 · SUB
JG
Jordan Garcia
#33 · SUB
JM
Joaquín Moxica
#11 · SUB
MS
Martín Sarrafiore
#30 · SUB
DB
Diogo Bagüí
#32 · SUB
Toluca

Toluca

5-3-2
22
Luis García
2
Diego Zaragoza
17
Brian García
25
Everardo López
6
Federico Pereira
4
Bruno Méndez
10
Jesús Angulo
5
Franco Romero
35
Érick Gutiérrez
16
Federico Viñas
29
Jorge Díaz

Substitutes

FA
Fernando Arce
#24 · SUB
HG
Hugo González
#1 · SUB
VG
Víctor Guzmán
#7 · SUB
L
Luan
#13 · SUB
LN
Luis Navarrete
#192 · SUB
OV
Oswaldo Virgen
#23 · SUB
SA
Sebastián Aceves
#184 · SUB
AB
Antonio Briseño
#3 · SUB
PP
Pável Pérez
#15 · SUB
H
Helinho
#11 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.