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Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 03:00Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes

Necaxa vs Puebla: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Necaxa v Puebla in the Liga MX.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Necaxa vs Puebla prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Necaxa (39%)

Small sample · 7/6 matches
1 · Necaxa
39%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Puebla
35%

Expected goals

Necaxa 1.50 · Puebla 1.40

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 7 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Necaxa went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11.
  • Puebla went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12.
  • At home, Necaxa have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Puebla have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
  • In Necaxa's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.
  • In Puebla's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Necaxa

Necaxa

Last 6 matches

WLLDLD

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

7-11

Goals

  • D6 SeptTigres UANL1-1Necaxa
  • L29 AugNecaxa1-3Cruz Azul
  • D24 AugPumas UNAM1-1Necaxa
  • L18 AugNecaxa1-2León
  • L3 AugToluca3-1Necaxa
  • W27 JulNecaxa2-1Monterrey
Puebla

Puebla

Last 6 matches

LDLWWL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

10-12

Goals

  • L30 AugAmérica2-0Puebla
  • W23 AugPuebla3-2Santos
  • W18 AugPachuca2-3Puebla
  • L13 AugSan Diego FC3-2Puebla
  • D1 AugPuebla1-1Guadalajara
  • L22 JulCruz Azul2-1Puebla

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Necaxa

Necaxa

3-4-2-1
12
Luis Jiménez
3
Agustín Oliveros
5
Kaiky Naves
33
Raúl Martínez
13
Owen González
14
Mauro Zaleta
16
Pedro Pedraza
8
Lorenzo Faravelli
9
Julián Carranza
21
Matías Espíndola
10
Javier Ruiz

Substitutes

FM
Francisco Méndez
#20 · SUB
JT
Juan Torres
#11 · SUB
KR
Kevin Rosero
#7 · SUB
MR
Miguel Rodríguez
#99 · SUB
DL
Danny Leyva
#6 · SUB
CV
Carlos Vargas
#88 · SUB
JV
Juan Valencia
#90 · SUB
RC
Rogelio Cortéz
#17 · SUB
AP
Alexis Peña
#4 · SUB
CJ
Christopher Josué Andrade Martín
#1 · SUB
Puebla

Puebla

4-2-3-1
28
Ricardo Gutiérrez
12
Iker Moreno
7
Fernando Monarrez
5
Facundo Almada
4
Juan Pablo Vargas
21
Sergio Sanabria
27
Brayan Garnica
24
Alejandro Organista
26
Kevin Velasco
22
Carlos Baltazar
8
Omar Moreno

Substitutes

AB
Alvaro Burgos
#195 · SUB
ÁL
Ángel Leyva
#2 · SUB
JR
Jesus Rodriguez
#33 · SUB
OV
Oscar Villa
#15 · SUB
LC
Lucas Camilo
#34 · SUB
MT
Mathías Tomás
#10 · SUB
AR
Alonso Ramirez
#16 · SUB
AH
Alberto Herrera
#3 · SUB
IM
Ignacio Maestro Puch
#19 · SUB
JP
Jose Pachuca
#20 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.