Liga MX

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Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 05:05Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Tijuana vs Puebla: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Tijuana v Puebla in the Liga MX.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Tijuana vs Puebla prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Tijuana (44%)

Medium sample · 10/11 matches
1 · Tijuana
44%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Puebla
28%

Expected goals

Tijuana 1.47 · Puebla 1.11

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Tijuana went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12.
  • Puebla went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Tijuana have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Puebla have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Tijuana's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Puebla's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 0 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Tijuana

Tijuana

Last 6 matches

LWLDLD

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

9-12

Goals

  • D11 OctFC Juárez1-1Tijuana
  • L26 SeptTijuana2-3Atlas
  • D21 SeptPachuca2-2Tijuana
  • L12 SeptTijuana0-1Querétaro
  • W29 AugTijuana2-0Pumas UNAM
  • L23 AugGuadalajara5-2Tijuana
Puebla

Puebla

Last 6 matches

LWLDLD

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

3-6

Goals

  • D10 OctPuebla1-1León
  • L27 SeptTigres UANL1-0Puebla
  • D19 SeptPuebla1-1Atlante
  • L16 SeptPuebla0-1Toluca
  • W12 SeptNecaxa0-1Puebla
  • L30 AugAmérica2-0Puebla

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Tijuana

Tijuana

4-1-4-1
2
Antonio Rodríguez
3
Rafael Fernández
16
Jesus Vega
12
Jackson Porozo
6
Jesús Gómez
8
Iván Tona
17
Ramiro Árciga
11
Francisco González
15
Ignacio Rivero
7
Adonis Preciado
9
Mourad El Ghezouani

Substitutes

EM
Elias Manoel
#13 · SUB
JH
Jorge Hernández
#29 · SUB
UB
Unai Bilbao
#4 · SUB
JP
Jonathan Padilla
#31 · SUB
DA
Diego Abreu
#19 · SUB
JG
Joban González
#202 · SUB
AM
Aaron Mejía
#18 · SUB
ÁZ
Ángel Zapata
#20 · SUB
FT
Frank Thierry Boya
#34 · SUB
PN
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz
#33 · SUB
Puebla

Puebla

4-2-3-1
28
Ricardo Gutiérrez
12
Iker Moreno
7
Fernando Monarrez
5
Facundo Almada
4
Juan Pablo Vargas
16
Alonso Ramirez
27
Brayan Garnica
24
Alejandro Organista
10
Mathías Tomás
8
Omar Moreno
9
Luifer Hernández

Substitutes

IM
Ignacio Maestro Puch
#19 · SUB
EA
Eduardo Armenta
#14 · SUB
AB
Alvaro Burgos
#195 · SUB
ÁL
Ángel Leyva
#2 · SUB
JR
Jesus Rodriguez
#33 · SUB
JP
Jose Pachuca
#20 · SUB
AH
Alberto Herrera
#3 · SUB
HD
Heriberto De Jesus
#25 · SUB
OV
Oscar Villa
#15 · SUB
EM
Eduardo Mustre
#29 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.