Liga MX
América vs Toluca: result and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on América v Toluca in the Liga MX.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
América vs Toluca prediction and probabilities
What the model saw before kick-off: América (54%)
Large sample · 14/14 matches- 1 · América
- 54%
- X · Draw
- 21%
- 2 · Toluca
- 25%
Expected goals
América 2.24 · Toluca 1.51
Most likely scores
2-1 (9%) · 1-1 (8%) · 2-2 (7%)
Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Confirmed data
Key facts
- América went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11.
- Toluca went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13.
- At home, América have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Toluca have not won any of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
- In América's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.
- In Toluca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

América
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
17-11
Goals
- D29 OctAmérica1-1Tijuana
- L26 OctAmérica1-2Pachuca
- W22 OctAtlas2-5América
- W18 OctLeón3-5América
- D11 OctAmérica1-1Monterrey
- W28 SeptNecaxa2-4América

Toluca
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
11-13
Goals
- D25 OctLeón1-1Toluca
- D22 OctToluca2-2Tijuana
- D18 OctToluca1-1Atlético de San Luis
- L10 OctTigres UANL3-2Toluca
- D27 SeptCruz Azul3-3Toluca
- L21 SeptToluca2-3Santos
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

América
Substitutes

Toluca
Substitutes
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.