Liga MX

Liga MX

2-2

Full-time
Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 04:10Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

América vs Toluca: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on América v Toluca in the Liga MX.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

América vs Toluca prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: América (54%)

Large sample · 14/14 matches
1 · América
54%
X · Draw
21%
2 · Toluca
25%

Expected goals

América 2.24 · Toluca 1.51

Most likely scores

2-1 (9%) · 1-1 (8%) · 2-2 (7%)

Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • América went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11.
  • Toluca went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13.
  • At home, América have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Toluca have not won any of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
  • In América's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.
  • In Toluca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

América

América

Last 6 matches

WDWWLD

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

17-11

Goals

  • D29 OctAmérica1-1Tijuana
  • L26 OctAmérica1-2Pachuca
  • W22 OctAtlas2-5América
  • W18 OctLeón3-5América
  • D11 OctAmérica1-1Monterrey
  • W28 SeptNecaxa2-4América
Toluca

Toluca

Last 6 matches

LDLDDD

0

Wins

4

Draws

2

Losses

11-13

Goals

  • D25 OctLeón1-1Toluca
  • D22 OctToluca2-2Tijuana
  • D18 OctToluca1-1Atlético de San Luis
  • L10 OctTigres UANL3-2Toluca
  • D27 SeptCruz Azul3-3Toluca
  • L21 SeptToluca2-3Santos

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

América

América

4-2-3-1
1
Ángel Malagón
5
Kevin Álvarez
24
Franco Rossano
14
Santiago Bueno
15
Santiago Ramos
28
Érick Sánchez
12
Isaías Violante
3
Israel Reyes
8
Carlos Álvarez
22
Óscar Perea
9
Henry Martín

Substitutes

MV
Miguel Vazquez
#32 · SUB
EL
Emilio Lara
#2 · SUB
AG
Alexis Gutierrez
#20 · SUB
MB
Miguel Borja
#93 · SUB
CB
Cristian Borja
#26 · SUB
RC
Rodolfo Cota
#30 · SUB
DR
Derek Ramsés Jiménez García
#206 · SUB
EC
Edwin Cerrillo
#6 · SUB
AC
Alan Cervantes
#13 · SUB
Toluca

Toluca

4-2-3-1
22
Luis García
19
Santiago Simón
20
Jesús Gallardo
4
Bruno Méndez
6
Federico Pereira
5
Franco Romero
11
Helinho
24
Fernando Arce
29
Jorge Díaz
8
Nicolás Castro
16
Federico Viñas

Substitutes

L
Luan
#13 · SUB
AV
Alexis Vega
#9 · SUB
P
Paulinho
#26 · SUB
BG
Brian García
#17 · SUB
ÉG
Érick Gutiérrez
#35 · SUB
PP
Pável Pérez
#15 · SUB
JA
Jesús Angulo
#10 · SUB
DZ
Diego Zaragoza
#2 · SUB
HG
Hugo González
#1 · SUB
EL
Everardo López
#25 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.