Liga MX
León vs Guadalajara: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on León v Guadalajara in the Liga MX.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
León vs Guadalajara prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Guadalajara have a slight edge (37% against 36%) and the draw sits at 27%. It expects 1.3 goals from León and 1.4 from Guadalajara: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Guadalajara (37%)
Large sample · 15/15 matches- 1 · León
- 36%
- X · Draw
- 27%
- 2 · Guadalajara
- 37%
Expected goals
León 1.32 · Guadalajara 1.35
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 0-1 (9%) · 1-0 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Guadalajara to score | 69% |
| León to score | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% |
| Guadalajara or draw (X2) | 64% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 15 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- León come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10.
- Guadalajara come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6.
- At home, León have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Guadalajara have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- In León's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In Guadalajara's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In the table, León are 7th and Guadalajara 2nd (22 and 29 points). Guadalajara sit 5 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
León
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
10-10
Goals
- L2 NovCruz Azul2-1León
- D25 OctLeón1-1Toluca
- W21 OctTigres UANL0-2León
- L18 OctLeón3-5América
- D10 OctPuebla1-1León
- W28 SeptLeón2-1FC Juárez
Guadalajara
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
8-6
Goals
- W1 NovGuadalajara4-2Atlante
- W25 OctMonterrey0-1Guadalajara
- W21 OctGuadalajara1-0Necaxa
- D18 OctGuadalajara1-1Tigres UANL
- D11 OctAtlas1-1Guadalajara
- L27 SeptGuadalajara0-2Querétaro
Standings
León
7º
Pos.
22
Pts
15
P
Guadalajara
2º
Pos.
29
Pts
15
P
Line-ups
León
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Guadalajara
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.