Ligue 1
Brest vs Lyon: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Brest v Lyon in the Ligue 1.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Brest vs Lyon prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Brest have a slight edge (42% against 32%) and the draw sits at 26%. It expects 1.5 goals from Brest and 1.3 from Lyon: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Brest (42%)
Medium sample · 9/13 matches- 1 · Brest
- 42%
- X · Draw
- 26%
- 2 · Lyon
- 32%
Expected goals
Brest 1.52 · Lyon 1.30
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Brest to score | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Brest or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Lyon to score | 68% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 13 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Brest come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8.
- Lyon come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
- At home, Brest have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Lyon have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- In Brest's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In Lyon's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In the table, Brest are 10th and Lyon 3rd (12 and 17 points). Lyon sit 7 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Brest
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
12-8
Goals
- W2 NovLorient0-2Brest
- L23 OctBrest1-2Nice
- D17 OctLille1-1Brest
- W10 OctBrest5-1Angers
- D3 OctBrest2-2Monza
- L20 SeptAJ Auxerre2-1Brest
Lyon
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
8-9
Goals
- D5 NovReal Sociedad1-1Lyon
- W1 NovLyon2-0Angers
- L26 OctParis Saint-Germain2-0Lyon
- L22 OctTSG Hoffenheim3-0Lyon
- W18 OctLyon2-1Nice
- W15 OctLyon3-2Crystal Palace
Standings
Brest
10º
Pos.
12
Pts
9
P
Lyon
3º
Pos.
17
Pts
9
P
Line-ups
Brest
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Lyon
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 1
18 Jan
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
0 - 0
2 Nov
Olympique Lyonnais
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.