Eerste Divisie

5-0

Full-time

De Graafschap

Friday, 4 September 2026 at 20:00Erve Asito, Almelo

Heracles Almelo vs De Graafschap: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Heracles Almelo v De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie.

Data updated: Friday, 6 November 2026 at 04:15

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MBet statistical model

Heracles Almelo vs De Graafschap prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Heracles Almelo (74%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches

1 · Heracles Almelo: 74%
X · Draw: 14%
2 · De Graafschap: 12%

Expected goals

Heracles Almelo 3.12 · De Graafschap 1.25

Most likely scores

3-1 (8%) · 2-1 (8%) · 3-0 (6%)

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Heracles Almelo went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9.
De Graafschap went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 14.
At home, Heracles Almelo have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
Away from home, De Graafschap have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
In Heracles Almelo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.
In De Graafschap's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 matches

LWWWW

Wins

Draws

Losses

17-9

Goals

W30 AugFC Eindhoven1-3Heracles Almelo
W24 AugJong FC Utrecht1-6Heracles Almelo
W14 AugHeracles Almelo3-2FC Den Bosch
W7 AugVVV-Venlo3-4Heracles Almelo
L17 MayHeracles Almelo1-2FC Groningen

De Graafschap

Last 5 matches

DDLLL

Wins

Draws

Losses

7-14

Goals

L29 AugDe Graafschap1-4Almere City
L23 AugVVV-Venlo2-1De Graafschap
L17 AugDe Graafschap2-5Jong AZ
D9 AugHelmond Sport1-1De Graafschap
D9 MayDe Graafschap2-2Almere City

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Heracles Almelo

4-2-3-1

Fabian De Keijzer

David Vicente

Alexandre Rodríguez

Damon Mirani

Maurice Wrusch

Djevencio van der Kust

Chafik Abbas

Sem Scheperman

Tristan Van Gilst

Max Hauswirth

Jean-Paul N'Djoli

Substitutes

David Tomić

#6 · SUB

Leco Zeevalkink

#33 · SUB

Thomas Bruns

#10 · SUB

Vincent Poppler

#9 · SUB

Jeppe Wijnreder

#38 · SUB

Mike te Wierik

#23 · SUB

Diego Van Oorschot

#30 · SUB

Timo Jansink

#16 · SUB

Daniel Van Kaam

#26 · SUB

Fodé Fofana

#80 · SUB

Stijn Bultman

#35 · SUB

Mimeirhel Benita

#2 · SUB

De Graafschap

4-3-3

Ties Wieggers

Nolan Martens

Kaya Symons

Rowan Besselink

Thomas Kok

Donny Warmerdam

Jason Meerstadt

Nart Ahmeti

Julian Kania

Gabriele Finocchiaro

Toivo Mero

Substitutes

Fedde de Jong

#10 · SUB

Nic Hartgers

#34 · SUB

Jorn Triep

#28 · SUB

Denzel Eijken

#18 · SUB

Rick Jonkers

#23 · SUB

Bjorn Van Zijl

#7 · SUB

Kyano Kwint

#40 · SUB

Jannes Wieckhoff

#2 · SUB

Gijs Bolk

#14 · SUB

Nathan Kaninda

#17 · SUB

Paul Reverson

#22 · SUB

Tygo Grotenhuis

#32 · SUB

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