Serie A

Serie A

20:45

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Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 20:45Olimpico, Roma

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on AS Roma v Sassuolo in the Serie A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is AS Roma, with a 73% chance of winning. It expects 3.1 goals from AS Roma and 1.3 from Sassuolo: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 75%). Both teams to score: yes at 65%. Most likely score: 3-1.

Model favourite: AS Roma (73%)

Large sample · 14/12 matches
1 · AS Roma
73%
X · Draw
14%
2 · Sassuolo
12%

Expected goals

AS Roma 3.13 · Sassuolo 1.29

Most likely scores

3-1 (8%) · 2-1 (8%) · 4-1 (6%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Over 1.5 goals88%
AS Roma or draw (1X)88%
AS Roma (draw no bet)86%
AS Roma over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals75%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
AS Roma wins and BTTS47%
Sassuolo over 1.5 goals40%
Correct score 3-18%

Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • AS Roma come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10.
  • Sassuolo come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19.
  • At home, AS Roma have won 3 of their last 3 matches (3.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Sassuolo have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded on average).
  • In AS Roma's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Sassuolo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In the table, AS Roma are 3rd and Sassuolo 17th (24 and 8 points). AS Roma sit 14 places higher.
  • Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 2 wins for AS Roma, 0 for Sassuolo and 0 draws, with 1.5 goals per match.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

AS Roma

AS Roma

Last 6 matches

WWDWWL

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

20-10

Goals

  • L3 NovManchester United3-2AS Roma
  • W31 OctUdinese2-5AS Roma
  • W27 OctAS Roma4-2Cagliari
  • D24 OctNapoli3-3AS Roma
  • W20 OctAS Roma4-0Slovan Bratislava
  • W17 OctAS Roma2-0Genoa
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Last 6 matches

LDLLLL

0

Wins

1

Draws

5

Losses

8-19

Goals

  • L2 NovSassuolo2-4Fiorentina
  • L27 OctSassuolo2-6Lazio
  • L24 OctComo2-0Sassuolo
  • L16 OctFrosinone4-2Sassuolo
  • D11 OctSassuolo1-1AC Milan
  • L18 SeptMonza2-1Sassuolo

Standings

AS Roma

AS Roma

3º

Pos.

24

Pts

10

P

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

17º

Pos.

8

Pts

10

P

Line-ups

AS Roma

AS Roma

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Head-to-head

AS Roma

2 - 0

10 Jan

US Sassuolo Calcio

US Sassuolo Calcio

0 - 1

26 Oct

AS Roma

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: FAQ

What time is AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

AS Roma vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November at 20:45 (Spain time), at Olimpico, Roma.

Who is the favourite in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, AS Roma are favourites, with a 73% chance of winning. Full split: AS Roma 73%, draw 14%, Sassuolo 12%. Expected goals: 3.1 - 1.3.

What is the most likely AS Roma vs Sassuolo score?

The most likely exact score is 3-1 (8%), followed by 2-1 (8%) and 4-1 (6%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

The model gives a 65% chance of both teams scoring and 75% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.

What happened in the last AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

The last recorded meeting was on 10 Jan: AS Roma 2-0 US Sassuolo Calcio (Serie A). This page lists 2 head-to-head games.

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.