Serie A
Monza vs Atalanta: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Monza v Atalanta in the Serie A.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Monza vs Atalanta prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Monza, with a 50% chance of winning. It expects 2.1 goals from Monza and 1.5 from Atalanta: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 65%). Both teams to score: yes at 65%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Monza (50%)
Large sample · 12/13 matches- 1 · Monza
- 50%
- X · Draw
- 22%
- 2 · Atalanta
- 28%
Expected goals
Monza 2.07 · Atalanta 1.54
Most likely scores
1-1 (9%) · 2-1 (9%) · 2-2 (7%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Monza to score | 81% |
| Atalanta to score | 73% |
| Monza or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Monza wins and over 2.5 | 39% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 9% |
Based on goals from each team's last 13 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Monza come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13.
- Atalanta come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15.
- At home, Monza have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Atalanta have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
- In Monza's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In Atalanta's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Monza are 18th and Atalanta 13th (7 and 11 points). Atalanta sit 5 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Monza
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
11-13
Goals
- L31 OctBologna2-1Monza
- L28 OctMonza1-4Napoli
- L23 OctTorino3-2Monza
- W19 OctMonza4-0Cagliari
- L11 OctLazio3-1Monza
- W18 SeptMonza2-1Sassuolo
Atalanta
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
9-15
Goals
- D5 NovAtalanta1-1Kairat Almaty
- L2 NovAtalanta0-3Parma
- D29 OctFiorentina2-2Atalanta
- D25 OctAtalanta4-4Frosinone
- L22 OctAjax Amsterdam2-0Atalanta
- L18 OctAC Milan3-2Atalanta
Standings
Monza
18º
Pos.
7
Pts
10
P
Atalanta
13º
Pos.
11
Pts
10
P
Line-ups
Monza
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Atalanta
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.