Nations League
Greece vs Serbia: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Greece v Serbia in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Greece vs Serbia prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Greece, with a 53% chance of winning. It expects 1.7 goals from Greece and 0.9 from Serbia: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Greece (53%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · Greece
- 53%
- X · Draw
- 26%
- 2 · Serbia
- 21%
Expected goals
Greece 1.67 · Serbia 0.95
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-0 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Greece or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Greece to score | 75% |
| Greece (draw no bet) | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 38% |
| Greece to win | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Greece come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4.
- Serbia come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13.
- At home, Greece have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Serbia have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on average).
- In Greece's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
- In Serbia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Greece
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
5-4
Goals
- D4 OctGreece0-0Germany
- D1 OctGreece2-2Netherlands
- W27 SeptGermany0-1Greece
- W24 SeptSerbia1-2Greece
- L7 JunGreece0-1Italy
Serbia
Last 5 matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
4-13
Goals
- L4 OctNetherlands2-1Serbia
- L1 OctGermany2-0Serbia
- L27 SeptSerbia1-2Netherlands
- L24 SeptSerbia1-2Greece
- L5 JunMexico5-1Serbia
Line-ups
Greece
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Serbia
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Serbia
1 - 2
24 Sept
Greece
Greece vs Serbia: FAQ
What time is Greece vs Serbia?
Greece vs Serbia (Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November at 20:45 (Spain time), at Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos.
Who is the favourite in Greece vs Serbia?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Greece are favourites, with a 53% chance of winning. Full split: Greece 53%, draw 26%, Serbia 21%. Expected goals: 1.7 - 1.0.
What is the most likely Greece vs Serbia score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), followed by 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Greece vs Serbia?
The model gives a 50% chance of both teams scoring and 49% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
What happened in the last Greece vs Serbia?
The last recorded meeting was on 24 Sept: Serbia 1-2 Greece (Nations League). This page lists 1 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.