Nations League
North Macedonia vs Slovenia: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on North Macedonia v Slovenia in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
North Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Slovenia, with a 47% chance of winning. It expects 1.0 goals from North Macedonia and 1.4 from Slovenia: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Slovenia (47%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · North Macedonia
- 25%
- X · Draw
- 28%
- 2 · Slovenia
- 47%
Expected goals
North Macedonia 0.98 · Slovenia 1.45
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 0-1 (12%) · 0-0 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Slovenia or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% |
| Slovenia to score | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Slovenia (draw no bet) | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 35% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- North Macedonia come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 14.
- Slovenia come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
- At home, North Macedonia have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Slovenia have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- In North Macedonia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 0 of 5.
- In Slovenia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
North Macedonia
Last 5 matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0-14
Goals
- L6 OctSwitzerland3-0North Macedonia
- L3 OctNorth Macedonia0-2Scotland
- L29 SeptSlovenia2-0North Macedonia
- L26 SeptNorth Macedonia0-3Switzerland
- L1 JunTürkiye4-0North Macedonia
Slovenia
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
6-5
Goals
- W6 OctScotland1-2Slovenia
- L3 OctSwitzerland2-1Slovenia
- W29 SeptSlovenia2-0North Macedonia
- D26 SeptSlovenia0-0Scotland
- L7 JunCroatia2-1Slovenia
Line-ups
North Macedonia
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Slovenia
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Slovenia
2 - 0
29 Sept
North Macedonia
North Macedonia vs Slovenia: FAQ
What time is North Macedonia vs Slovenia?
North Macedonia vs Slovenia (Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November at 20:45 (Spain time), at Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje.
Who is the favourite in North Macedonia vs Slovenia?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Slovenia are favourites, with a 47% chance of winning. Full split: North Macedonia 25%, draw 28%, Slovenia 47%. Expected goals: 1.0 - 1.5.
What is the most likely North Macedonia vs Slovenia score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 0-1 (12%) and 0-0 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in North Macedonia vs Slovenia?
The model gives a 49% chance of both teams scoring and 45% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
What happened in the last North Macedonia vs Slovenia?
The last recorded meeting was on 29 Sept: Slovenia 2-0 North Macedonia (Nations League). This page lists 1 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.