Nations League
Gibraltar vs Malta: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Gibraltar v Malta in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Gibraltar vs Malta prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Gibraltar have a slight edge (39% against 30%) and the draw sits at 31%. It expects 1.1 goals from Gibraltar and 1.0 from Malta: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 61%). Both teams to score: yes at 45%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Gibraltar (39%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · Gibraltar
- 39%
- X · Draw
- 31%
- 2 · Malta
- 30%
Expected goals
Gibraltar 1.15 · Malta 0.97
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (13%) · 0-0 (13%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% |
| Gibraltar or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Gibraltar to score | 64% |
| Malta or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 29% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Gibraltar come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2.
- Malta come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2.
- At home, Gibraltar have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Malta have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- In Gibraltar's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
- In Malta's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Gibraltar
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
7-2
Goals
- W5 OctLiechtenstein0-2Gibraltar
- D1 OctMalta1-1Gibraltar
- D27 SeptGibraltar0-0Andorra
- D23 SeptGibraltar0-0Sao Tome and Principe
- W6 JunGibraltar4-1Cayman Islands
Malta
Last 5 matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
8-2
Goals
- W4 OctMalta1-0Andorra
- D1 OctMalta1-1Gibraltar
- W27 SeptMalta2-0Liechtenstein
- W24 SeptAndorra1-2Malta
- W5 JunAzerbaijan0-2Malta
Line-ups
Gibraltar
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Malta
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Malta
1 - 1
1 Oct
Gibraltar
Gibraltar vs Malta: FAQ
What time is Gibraltar vs Malta?
Gibraltar vs Malta (Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November at 20:45 (Spain time), at Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar.
Who is the favourite in Gibraltar vs Malta?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Gibraltar are favourites, with a 39% chance of winning. Full split: Gibraltar 39%, draw 31%, Malta 30%. Expected goals: 1.2 - 1.0.
What is the most likely Gibraltar vs Malta score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 1-0 (13%) and 0-0 (13%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Gibraltar vs Malta?
The model gives a 45% chance of both teams scoring and 39% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
What happened in the last Gibraltar vs Malta?
The last recorded meeting was on 1 Oct: Malta 1-1 Gibraltar (Nations League). This page lists 1 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.