Nations League
Latvia vs Armenia: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Latvia v Armenia in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Latvia vs Armenia prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Latvia have a slight edge (38% against 32%) and the draw sits at 29%. It expects 1.3 goals from Latvia and 1.1 from Armenia: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Latvia (38%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · Latvia
- 38%
- X · Draw
- 29%
- 2 · Armenia
- 32%
Expected goals
Latvia 1.25 · Armenia 1.12
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% |
| Latvia or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Latvia to score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Armenia to score | 63% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 35% |
| Latvia (draw no bet) | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Latvia come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6.
- Armenia come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6.
- At home, Latvia have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Armenia have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In Latvia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
- In Armenia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Latvia
Last 5 matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
3-6
Goals
- L5 OctCyprus2-1Latvia
- L2 OctLatvia1-2Montenegro
- D28 SeptLatvia0-0Cyprus
- L25 SeptArmenia2-0Latvia
- W31 MarLatvia1-0Gibraltar
Armenia
Last 5 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
5-6
Goals
- D5 OctMontenegro0-0Armenia
- L2 OctCyprus2-0Armenia
- L28 SeptArmenia2-3Montenegro
- W25 SeptArmenia2-0Latvia
- D9 JunArmenia1-1Moldova
Line-ups
Latvia
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Armenia
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Armenia
2 - 0
25 Sept
Latvia
Latvia vs Armenia: FAQ
What time is Latvia vs Armenia?
Latvia vs Armenia (Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November at 15:00 (Spain time), at Skonto Stadions, Riga.
Who is the favourite in Latvia vs Armenia?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Latvia are favourites, with a 38% chance of winning. Full split: Latvia 38%, draw 29%, Armenia 32%. Expected goals: 1.3 - 1.1.
What is the most likely Latvia vs Armenia score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Latvia vs Armenia?
The model gives a 49% chance of both teams scoring and 44% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
What happened in the last Latvia vs Armenia?
The last recorded meeting was on 25 Sept: Armenia 2-0 Latvia (Nations League). This page lists 1 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.