Nations League

Nations League

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Monday, 28 September 2026 at 20:45Yüzüncü Yil Atatürk Stadyumu, Bursa

Türkiye vs Italy: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Türkiye v Italy in the Nations League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Türkiye vs Italy prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Türkiye (36%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Türkiye
36%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Italy
34%

Expected goals

Türkiye 1.16 · Italy 1.14

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Türkiye went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7.
  • Italy went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3.
  • At home, Türkiye have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Italy have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
  • In Türkiye's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Italy's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 0 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Türkiye

Türkiye

Last 5 matches

WLLWL

2

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

5-7

Goals

  • L25 SeptTürkiye0-1France
  • W26 JunTürkiye3-2United States
  • L20 JunTürkiye0-1Paraguay
  • L14 JunAustralia2-0Türkiye
  • W7 JunVenezuela1-2Türkiye
Italy

Italy

Last 5 matches

WLWWL

3

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

5-3

Goals

  • L25 SeptItaly0-2Belgium
  • W7 JunGreece0-1Italy
  • W3 JunLuxembourg0-1Italy
  • L31 MarBosnia-Herzegovina1-1Italy
  • W26 MarItaly2-0Northern Ireland

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Türkiye

Türkiye

3-4-3
1
Altay Bayindir
15
Ozan Kabak
3
Merih Demiral
2
Zeki Çelik
18
Oguz Aydin
13
Eren Elmali
6
Orkun Kökçü
5
Salih Özcan
21
Baris Alper Yilmaz
10
Arda Güler
11
Can Uzun

Substitutes

MS
Muhammed Sengezer
#12 · SUB
IC
Irfan Can Kahveci
#17 · SUB
DE
Demir Ege Tiknaz
#8 · SUB
AB
Abdülkerim Bardakçi
#14 · SUB
SA
Samet Akaydin
#4 · SUB
KA
Kerem Aktürkoglu
#7 · SUB
YA
Yunus Akgün
#19 · SUB
DG
Deniz Gül
#9 · SUB
FK
Ferdi Kadioglu
#20 · SUB
OK
Okan Kocuk
#23 · SUB
IY
Ismail Yüksek
#16 · SUB
ME
Mustafa Eskihellac
#22 · SUB
Italy

Italy

4-3-3
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
2
Michael Kayode
3
Matteo Ruggeri
19
Giorgio Scalvini
21
Alessandro Bastoni
8
Sandro Tonali
16
Davide Frattesi
6
Nicolò Fagioli
7
Pio Esposito
10
Giacomo Raspadori
23
Sebastiano Esposito

Substitutes

ID
Issa Doumbia
#15 · SUB
AV
Antonio Vergara
#18 · SUB
RC
Riccardo Calafiori
#5 · SUB
MK
Moise Kean
#9 · SUB
GS
Gianluca Scamacca
#11 · SUB
AR
Alessandro Romano
#4 · SUB
DG
Daniele Ghilardi
#20 · SUB
NC
Nicolò Cambiaghi
#17 · SUB
GV
Guglielmo Vicario
#14 · SUB
MC
Marco Carnesecchi
#12 · SUB
RM
Rolando Mandragora
#13 · SUB
GD
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
#22 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.