Nations League

Nations League

1-1

Full-time
Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 20:45Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Netherlands vs Germany: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Netherlands v Germany in the Nations League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Netherlands vs Germany prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Netherlands (45%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Netherlands
45%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Germany
31%

Expected goals

Netherlands 1.81 · Germany 1.48

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (7%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Netherlands went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6.
  • Germany went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Netherlands have won 2 of their last 4 matches (2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Germany have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In Netherlands's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.
  • In Germany's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Netherlands

Netherlands

Last 5 matches

WDWWL

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

13-6

Goals

  • L30 JunNetherlands1-1Morocco
  • W26 JunTunisia1-3Netherlands
  • W20 JunNetherlands5-1Sweden
  • D14 JunNetherlands2-2Japan
  • W8 JunNetherlands2-1Uzbekistan
Germany

Germany

Last 5 matches

WWWLL

3

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

13-6

Goals

  • L29 JunGermany1-1Paraguay
  • L25 JunEcuador2-1Germany
  • W20 JunGermany2-1Ivory Coast
  • W14 JunGermany7-1Curaçao
  • W6 JunUnited States1-2Germany

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Netherlands

Netherlands

4-2-3-1
1
Bart Verbruggen
22
Denzel Dumfries
15
Micky van de Ven
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
4
Virgil van Dijk
19
Quinten Timber
7
Crysencio Summerville
8
Ryan Gravenberch
14
Tijjani Reijnders
11
Cody Gakpo
9
Brian Brobbey

Substitutes

NA
Nathan Aké
#5 · SUB
JV
Joey Veerman
#18 · SUB
JH
Jorrel Hato
#3 · SUB
MF
Mark Flekken
#23 · SUB
RR
Robin Roefs
#13 · SUB
TK
Teun Koopmeiners
#20 · SUB
NL
Noa Lang
#10 · SUB
RV
Ruben Van Bommel
#21 · SUB
MM
Mexx Meerdink
#17 · SUB
JF
Jeremie Frimpong
#12 · SUB
GT
Guus Til
#16 · SUB
LG
Lutsharel Geertruida
#2 · SUB
Germany

Germany

4-2-3-1
1
Marc-André ter Stegen
13
Philipp Treu
18
Nathaniel Brown
4
Jonathan Tah
15
Nico Schlotterbeck
6
Joshua Kimmich
19
Karim Adeyemi
8
Felix Nmecha
11
Nadiem Amiri
9
Kevin Schade
7
Kai Havertz

Substitutes

FD
Finn Dahmen
#12 · SUB
HB
Hennes Behrens
#22 · SUB
YE
Younes Ebnoutalib
#23 · SUB
SG
Serge Gnabry
#20 · SUB
CF
Chris Führich
#17 · SUB
YB
Yann Bisseck
#2 · SUB
YE
Yannick Engelhardt
#5 · SUB
JV
Josha Vagnoman
#14 · SUB
AS
Anton Stach
#16 · SUB
MR
Max Rosenfelder
#3 · SUB
AN
Alexander Nübel
#21 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.