Chilean Primera División

Chilean Primera División

Sunday, 26 July 2026 at 02:00Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago

Universidad Católica vs La Serena: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Universidad Católica v La Serena in the Chilean Primera División.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Universidad Católica vs La Serena prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Universidad Católica (46%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches
1 · Universidad Católica
46%
X · Draw
25%
2 · La Serena
29%

Expected goals

Universidad Católica 1.71 · La Serena 1.31

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Universidad Católica went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8.
  • La Serena went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Universidad Católica have won 3 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, La Serena have won 1 of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • In Universidad Católica's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 4, and both teams scored in 3 of 4.
  • In La Serena's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4, and both teams scored in 2 of 4.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Universidad Católica

Universidad Católica

Last 4 matches

WWWL

3

Wins

0

Draws

1

Losses

8-8

Goals

  • L11 JulSan Luis4-0Universidad Católica
  • W5 JulUniversidad Católica2-1Copiapó
  • W1 JulUniversidad Católica2-1Everton CD
  • W28 JunUniversidad Católica4-2San Luis
La Serena

La Serena

Last 4 matches

WWLL

2

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

5-6

Goals

  • L12 JulCobreloa1-0La Serena
  • L5 JulLa Serena2-4Antofagasta
  • W2 JulCobresal0-1La Serena
  • W28 JunLa Serena2-1Cobreloa

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Universidad Católica

Universidad Católica

4-2-3-1
27
Darío Melo
6
Sebastián Arancibia
3
Eugenio Mena
2
Daniel Gónzalez
26
Juan Ignacio Díaz
20
Jhojan Valencia
25
Diego Corral
8
Fernando Zuqui
15
Cristian Cuevas
7
Justo Giani
9
Fernando Zampedri

Substitutes

MP
Matias Palavecino
#10 · SUB
NL
Nicolás Lhuillier
#39 · SUB
JM
Jimmy Martínez
#14 · SUB
FV
Francisco Valdés
#12 · SUB
AC
Alfred Canales
#13 · SUB
BC
Bernardo Cerezo
#28 · SUB
AF
Agustín Farías
#5 · SUB
MG
Martín Gómez
#22 · SUB
JR
Juan Rossel
#18 · SUB
La Serena

La Serena

4-2-3-1
31
José Tapia
16
Joaquín Gutierrez
17
Yahir Salazar
34
Ian Rasso
5
Lucas Alarcón
4
Francis Mac Allister
7
Alexander Oroz
8
Gonzalo Escalante
11
Diego Rubio
10
Jeisson Vargas
23
Matías Marín

Substitutes

ÁH
Ángelo Henríquez
#9 · SUB
SD
Sebastián Díaz
#6 · SUB
JO
Joan Orellana
#28 · SUB
FD
Fernando Dinamarca
#26 · SUB
MV
Milovan Velásquez
#20 · SUB
MP
Matías Pinto
#29 · SUB
BS
Bastian Sandoval
#19 · SUB
IS
Ignacio Sáez
#38 · SUB
GF
Gonzalo Figueroa
#2 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.