Argentine Primera División
Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: result and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Vélez Sarsfield v Independiente in the Argentine Primera División.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente prediction and probabilities
What the model saw before kick-off: Vélez Sarsfield (40%)
Small sample · 5/5 matches- 1 · Vélez Sarsfield
- 40%
- X · Draw
- 29%
- 2 · Independiente
- 31%
Expected goals
Vélez Sarsfield 1.31 · Independiente 1.10
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (10%)
Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Confirmed data
Key facts
- Vélez Sarsfield went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3.
- Independiente went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4.
- At home, Vélez Sarsfield have won 2 of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Independiente have won 3 of their last 4 matches (1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In Vélez Sarsfield's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
- In Independiente's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Vélez Sarsfield
Last 5 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
7-3
Goals
- W31 JulTalleres (Córdoba)1-3Vélez Sarsfield
- W25 JulVélez Sarsfield1-0Instituto (Córdoba)
- L11 MayVélez Sarsfield0-1Gimnasia La Plata
- D5 MayVélez Sarsfield1-1Newell's Old Boys
- W1 MayVélez Sarsfield2-0Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta)

Independiente
Last 5 matches
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
8-4
Goals
- W31 JulIndependiente1-0Newell's Old Boys
- W26 JulEstudiantes de La Plata0-2Independiente
- W23 MayUnión (Santa Fe)0-2Independiente
- L10 MayRosario Central3-1Independiente
- W2 MaySan Lorenzo1-2Independiente
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

Vélez Sarsfield
Substitutes

Independiente
Substitutes
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.