Brasileirão
Vitória vs Fluminense: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Vitória v Fluminense in the Brasileirão.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Vitória vs Fluminense prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Fluminense, with a 41% chance of winning. It expects 1.1 goals from Vitória and 1.3 from Fluminense: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Fluminense (41%)
Large sample · 16/20 matches- 1 · Vitória
- 30%
- X · Draw
- 29%
- 2 · Fluminense
- 41%
Expected goals
Vitória 1.06 · Fluminense 1.30
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 0-1 (11%) · 0-0 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% |
| Fluminense or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Fluminense to score | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Vitória to score | 62% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 20 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Vitória come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
- Fluminense come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8.
- At home, Vitória have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Fluminense have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In Vitória's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Fluminense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Vitória are 15th and Fluminense 4th (38 and 54 points). Fluminense sit 11 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Vitória
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
8-9
Goals
- L31 OctCoritiba2-0Vitória
- D24 OctVitória1-1Athletico-PR
- D20 OctCorinthians1-1Vitória
- L11 OctSão Paulo2-1Vitória
- W8 OctVitória4-0Chapecoense
- L20 SeptVitória1-3Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
6-8
Goals
- W28 OctFluminense2-1Internacional
- L25 OctChapecoense2-1Fluminense
- W22 OctPalmeiras0-1Fluminense
- L18 OctFluminense1-2Santos
- L15 OctFluminense1-2Palmeiras
- L11 OctFlamengo1-0Fluminense
Standings
Vitória
15º
Pos.
38
Pts
33
P
Fluminense
4º
Pos.
54
Pts
33
P
Line-ups
Vitória
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Fluminense
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.