Brasileirão

Brasileirão

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Friday, 9 October 2026 at 02:30Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense vs Coritiba: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Fluminense v Coritiba in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Fluminense vs Coritiba prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Fluminense (56%)

Medium sample · 14/10 matches
1 · Fluminense
56%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Coritiba
20%

Expected goals

Fluminense 1.89 · Coritiba 1.05

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (10%) · 2-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Fluminense went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9.
  • Coritiba went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14.
  • At home, Fluminense have won 2 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Coritiba have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded on average).
  • In Fluminense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Coritiba's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Fluminense

Fluminense

Last 6 matches

DWWLLW

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

11-9

Goals

  • W20 SeptCorinthians1-3Fluminense
  • L16 SeptPlatense2-1Fluminense
  • L12 SeptAtlético-MG3-1Fluminense
  • W9 SeptFluminense2-0Platense
  • W6 SeptFluminense1-0Vasco da Gama
  • D30 AugAthletico-PR3-3Fluminense
Coritiba

Coritiba

Last 6 matches

DWWLDL

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

10-14

Goals

  • L20 SeptVasco da Gama5-0Coritiba
  • D12 SeptCoritiba3-3Athletico-PR
  • L6 SeptCoritiba1-2Mirassol
  • W1 SeptRemo2-3Coritiba
  • W24 AugCoritiba2-1Corinthians
  • D16 AugSão Paulo1-1Coritiba

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Fluminense

Fluminense

4-2-3-1
1
Fábio
23
Guga
13
Guilherme Arana
3
Thiago Silva
29
Julian Millan
8
Martinelli
90
Kevin Serna
35
Hércules
10
Ganso
11
Jefferson Savarino
7
Hulk

Substitutes

I
Ignácio
#4 · SUB
LA
Luciano Acosta
#32 · SUB
RS
Ruan Sales
#41 · SUB
WN
Wesley Natã
#34 · SUB
JF
Juan Freytes
#22 · SUB
IR
Igor Rabello
#21 · SUB
O
Otávio
#94 · SUB
J
Jemmes
#44 · SUB
SX
Samuel Xavier
#2 · SUB
JF
Julio Fidelis
#46 · SUB
RC
Rodrigo Castillo
#19 · SUB
MP
Marcelo Pitaluga
#27 · SUB
Coritiba

Coritiba

4-2-3-1
22
Pedro Rangel
14
Fabricio Bustos
6
Felipe Jonatan
55
Jacy Maranhão
26
Bruno Melo
19
Sebastián Gómez
5
Nicolás Fonseca
21
Thiago Santos
10
Josué Pesqueira
77
Breno
32
Pedro Rocha

Substitutes

RR
Rodrigo Rodrigues
#99 · SUB
K
Keiller
#13 · SUB
T
Tinga
#2 · SUB
M
Maicon
#3 · SUB
R
Rodrigo
#66 · SUB
VP
Vini Paulista
#36 · SUB
F
Fabinho
#28 · SUB
RM
Renato Marques
#78 · SUB
RM
Rodrigo Moledo
#4 · SUB
T
Tissi
#50 · SUB
PR
Paulo Roberto
#18 · SUB
G
Gustavo
#39 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.