Segunda División

· Regular Season - 7

Tenerife

1-0

● 45'

Cadiz

Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 18:30Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de TenerifeReferee: Olatz Rivera Olmedo

Tenerife vs Cadiz: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Tenerife v Cadiz in the Segunda División.

Data updated: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 00:14

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MBet statistical model

Tenerife vs Cadiz prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Tenerife, with a 43% chance of winning. It expects 1.4 goals from Tenerife and 1.2 from Cadiz: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Small sample · 5/5 matches

1 · Tenerife: 43%
X · Draw: 28%
2 · Cadiz: 30%

Expected goals

Tenerife 1.44 · Cadiz 1.17

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (9%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
Scenario	Probability
Tenerife to score	71%
Tenerife or draw (1X)	70%
Over 1.5 goals	69%
Under 3.5 goals	68%
Cadiz to score	64%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
Scenario	Probability
BTTS and over 2.5	40%
Both teams to score: yes	52%
Correct score 1-1	13%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Tenerife come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7.
Cadiz come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9.
At home, Tenerife have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
Away from home, Cadiz have not won any of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
In Tenerife's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
In Cadiz's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Tenerife

Last 5 matches

WLDWL

Wins

Draws

Losses

4-7

Goals

L19 SeptCastellón5-0Tenerife
W13 SeptTenerife2-0Leganés
D5 SeptReal Sociedad II1-1Tenerife
L28 AugTenerife0-1Sporting Gijón
W23 AugTenerife1-0Almería

Cadiz

Last 5 matches

DDLLL

Wins

Draws

Losses

6-9

Goals

L19 SeptCadiz1-2Girona
L12 SeptCadiz0-1Las Palmas
L6 SeptAlmería3-2Cadiz
D30 AugCadiz1-1Real Valladolid
D22 AugEldense2-2Cadiz

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Tenerife

4-4-2

Dani Martín

César Álvarez

David Rodríguez Ramos

Anthony Landázuri

José León

Fabricio

Gerard Valentín

Juanjo

Martin Pecar

Víctor Moreno

Enric Gallego

Substitutes

Roko Jureskin

#3 · SUB

Noel López

#11 · SUB

Grant-Leon Ranos

#22 · SUB

Jesús De Miguel

#9 · SUB

Iván Chapela

#24 · SUB

Marc Mateu

#21 · SUB

Gabriel Lozano

#40 · SUB

Mauro Pittón

#20 · SUB

Christian Gomis

#17 · SUB

Daniel Fernández

#29 · SUB

Neal Viereck

#27 · SUB

Jorge Moreno

#5 · SUB

Cadiz

4-2-3-1

David Gil

Juan Díaz

Sergio Arribas

Javier Castro

Manuel Fernández

Jandro Orellana

Borja Vázquez

Marc-Oliver Doué

Ibon Sánchez

Antonio Cordero

Vladyslav Kopotun

Substitutes

Aimen Moueffek

#17 · SUB

Jokin Ezkieta

#13 · SUB

César Díaz

#30 · SUB

Efe Ugiagbe

#8 · SUB

Urko Izeta

#19 · SUB

Beñat De Jesús

#2 · SUB

Damián Rodríguez

#23 · SUB

Javi Ontiveros

#10 · SUB

García Pascual

#9 · SUB

Dilan Zárate

#28 · SUB

Gonzalo Petit

#25 · SUB

Noah Ukwuije

#31 · SUB

Tenerife vs Cadiz: FAQ

What time is Tenerife vs Cadiz?

Tenerife vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September at 18:30 (Spain time), at Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife.

Who is the favourite in Tenerife vs Cadiz?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Tenerife are favourites, with a 43% chance of winning. Full split: Tenerife 43%, draw 28%, Cadiz 30%. Expected goals: 1.4 - 1.2.

What is the most likely Tenerife vs Cadiz score?

The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.