Segunda División

· Regular Season - 7

Eibar

2-1

● 45'

Las Palmas

Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 18:30Ipurua Municipal Stadium, EibarReferee: Salvador Lax

Eibar vs Las Palmas: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Eibar v Las Palmas in the Segunda División.

Data updated: Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 05:02

ShareWhatsApp Telegram X

MBet statistical model

Eibar vs Las Palmas prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Eibar, with a 58% chance of winning. It expects 1.8 goals from Eibar and 0.9 from Las Palmas: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 50%. Most likely score: 1-0.

Small sample · 5/5 matches

1 · Eibar: 58%
X · Draw: 24%
2 · Las Palmas: 17%

Expected goals

Eibar 1.81 · Las Palmas 0.89

Most likely scores

1-0 (12%) · 1-1 (11%) · 2-0 (11%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
Scenario	Probability
Eibar or draw (1X)	83%
Eibar to score	77%
Eibar (draw no bet)	77%
Over 1.5 goals	70%
Under 3.5 goals	67%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
Scenario	Probability
BTTS and over 2.5	38%
Eibar over 1.5 goals	53%
Correct score 1-0	12%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

Daily analysis · Telegram

Follow Eibar vs Las Palmas on Telegram

Every day we share our analysis of the biggest matches on Telegram for free, before kick-off.

18+ · Gamble responsibly

Join for free

ShareWhatsApp Telegram X

Confirmed data

Key facts

Eibar come in with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 1.
Las Palmas come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
At home, Eibar have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
Away from home, Las Palmas have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
In Eibar's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
In Las Palmas's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Eibar

Last 5 matches

WWWWW

Wins

Draws

Losses

11-1

Goals

W19 SeptEldense1-2Eibar
W14 SeptRC Celta Fortuna0-4Eibar
W6 SeptEibar3-0Granada
W30 AugFC Andorra0-1Eibar
W23 AugEibar1-0Real Valladolid

Las Palmas

Last 5 matches

WLDWL

Wins

Draws

Losses

6-7

Goals

L20 SeptLas Palmas1-2Burgos
W12 SeptCádiz0-1Las Palmas
D4 SeptLas Palmas0-0Leganés
L29 AugGirona5-2Las Palmas
W22 AugCeuta0-2Las Palmas

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Eibar

4-2-3-1

Jon Mikel Magunagoitia

Álvaro Rodríguez Pérez

Juan Bernat

Unai Elgezabel

Anaitz Arbilla

Ander Madariaga

Malcom Adu Ares

Aleix Garrido

Jon Magunacelaya

Jon Guruzeta

Javier Martón

Substitutes

Lucas Nuñez

#28 · SUB

Luis López

#1 · SUB

Sergio Cubero

#2 · SUB

Jair Amador Silos

#15 · SUB

Pejiño

#17 · SUB

Eric Pérez

#19 · SUB

Imanol García de Albéniz

#3 · SUB

Arana

#18 · SUB

Jon Bautista

#9 · SUB

Elijah Gift

#27 · SUB

Iván Gil

#21 · SUB

Las Palmas

4-4-2

Caro

Valentín Pezzolesi

Enzo Loiodice

Álex Suárez

Giovanni Bonfanti

Kirian Rodríguez

Taisei Miyashiro

Iñaki González

Iván Jaime

Manu Fuster

Jesé

Substitutes

Sandro

#19 · SUB

Aboubacar Bassinga

#26 · SUB

Adri Suárez

#35 · SUB

Andrés Rodríguez

#23 · SUB

Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba

#42 · SUB

Jorge Valverde

#41 · SUB

Mateo Acimovic

#16 · SUB

Nicholas Opoku

#3 · SUB

Jefté

#7 · SUB

Iván Medina

#30 · SUB

Elias Romero

#29 · SUB

Adrián Vázquez

#44 · SUB

Eibar vs Las Palmas: FAQ

What time is Eibar vs Las Palmas?

Eibar vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September at 18:30 (Spain time), at Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar.

Who is the favourite in Eibar vs Las Palmas?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Eibar are favourites, with a 58% chance of winning. Full split: Eibar 58%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 17%. Expected goals: 1.8 - 0.9.

What is the most likely Eibar vs Las Palmas score?

The most likely exact score is 1-0 (12%), followed by 1-1 (11%) and 2-0 (11%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.