League Two

League Two

Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 16:00County Ground, Swindon

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Swindon Town v Accrington ST in the League Two.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Accrington ST (37%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Swindon Town
37%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Accrington ST
37%

Expected goals

Swindon Town 1.46 · Accrington ST 1.47

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (8%) · 2-1 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Swindon Town went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 10.
  • Accrington ST went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9.
  • At home, Swindon Town have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • In Swindon Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Accrington ST's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Swindon Town

Swindon Town

Last 5 matches

WLLLL

1

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

4-10

Goals

  • L22 SeptSwindon Town0-2Newport County
  • L19 SeptSalford City1-0Swindon Town
  • L15 SeptSwindon Town1-2Crystal Palace U21
  • L12 SeptYork City4-0Swindon Town
  • W5 SeptSwindon Town3-1Colchester United
Accrington ST

Accrington ST

Last 5 matches

DWLDW

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

9-9

Goals

  • W22 SeptAccrington ST3-3Sunderland U21
  • D19 SeptAccrington ST0-0Newport County
  • L12 SeptBarnet2-1Accrington ST
  • W5 SeptAccrington ST3-2Crawley Town
  • D1 SeptAccrington ST2-2Grimsby Town

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Swindon Town

Swindon Town

4-3-3
1
Connor Ripley
6
James Ball
26
Dan Butler
5
Stephan Negru
21
Kaelan Majekodunmi
25
Shaun Thomson
27
Anthony Munda
8
Ollie Clarke
23
Aaron Drinan
9
Paul Glatzel
15
Joseph Hungbo

Substitutes

JD
James Debayo
#18 · SUB
LW
Lewis Ward
#12 · SUB
BK
Billy Kirkman
#34 · SUB
MV
Matthew Virtue-Thick
#24 · SUB
DB
Daniel Butterworth
#14 · SUB
TN
Tom Nichols
#7 · SUB
AH
Antwoine Hackford
#29 · SUB
Accrington ST

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2
1
Louie Moulden
22
Joseph Anderson
28
Seamus Conneely
17
Devon Matthews
38
Connor O'Brien
33
David Tutonda
2
Donald Love
6
Liam Coyle
14
Stefan Mols
39
Josh Woods
23
Tyler Walton

Substitutes

AH
Alex Henderson
#10 · SUB
CS
Cole Stockton
#13 · SUB
JS
Joshua Smith
#25 · SUB
JC
Joel Catesby
#27 · SUB
JR
James Rogerson
#21 · SUB
CW
Charlie Warren
#30 · SUB
CB
Charlie Brown
#20 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.