Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 20:00Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on NAC Breda v FC Eindhoven in the Eerste Divisie.

Data updated:

Share

MBet statistical model

NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is NAC Breda, with a 49% chance of winning. It expects 2.1 goals from NAC Breda and 1.5 from FC Eindhoven: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 65%). Both teams to score: yes at 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: NAC Breda (49%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · NAC Breda
49%
X · Draw
22%
2 · FC Eindhoven
28%

Expected goals

NAC Breda 2.06 · FC Eindhoven 1.53

Most likely scores

1-1 (9%) · 2-1 (9%) · 2-2 (7%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
NAC Breda to score81%
FC Eindhoven to score72%
NAC Breda or draw (1X)72%
Over 2.5 goals65%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
NAC Breda wins and over 2.538%
Under 3.5 goals51%
Correct score 1-19%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

Daily analysis · Telegram

Follow NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven on Telegram

Every day we share our analysis of the biggest matches on Telegram for free, before kick-off.

18+ · Gamble responsibly

Join for free
Share

Confirmed data

Key facts

  • NAC Breda come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12.
  • FC Eindhoven come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10.
  • At home, NAC Breda have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, FC Eindhoven have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • In NAC Breda's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.
  • In FC Eindhoven's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Last 5 matches

WDLLW

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

11-12

Goals

  • W20 SeptDe Graafschap1-2NAC Breda
  • L11 SeptNAC Breda2-3Jong FC Utrecht
  • L4 SeptRKC Waalwijk4-2NAC Breda
  • D28 AugRoda JC Kerkrade2-2NAC Breda
  • W22 AugNAC Breda3-2Jong Ajax
FC Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven

Last 5 matches

LLDWW

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

8-10

Goals

  • W18 SeptFC Eindhoven3-1FC Emmen
  • W11 SeptFC Eindhoven2-1FC Dordrecht
  • D7 SeptJong FC Utrecht0-0FC Eindhoven
  • L30 AugFC Eindhoven1-3Heracles Almelo
  • L21 AugFC Den Bosch5-2FC Eindhoven

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

NAC Breda

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
1
Michael Verrips
2
Boyd Lucassen
12
Jan Van den Bergh
4
Leo Greiml
22
Rio Hillen
6
Maximilien Balard
14
Kamal Sowah
78
Jannes Van Hecke
10
Mohamed Nassoh
28
Charles-Andreas Brym
9
Moussa Soumano

Substitutes

RK
Roy Kortsmit
#23 · SUB
PG
Paul Gladon
#19 · SUB
EI
Elijah Ikpia
#33 · SUB
MB
Mylan Brouwers
#35 · SUB
KL
Kostas Lamprou
#31 · SUB
BG
Brahim Ghalidi
#55 · SUB
MB
Mohamed Bouchouari
#17 · SUB
JC
Jayden Candelaria
#5 · SUB
FJ
Fredrik Jensen
#8 · SUB
GM
Gabriel Misehouy
#11 · SUB
IN
Imran Nazih
#34 · SUB
FC Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven

4-4-2
1
Jort Borgmans
17
Luc Netten
20
Raf Van De Riet
4
Junior Poortvliet
44
Owen Renfrum
6
Guus Beaumont
28
Rayan Buifrahi
8
Xander Blomme
13
Amir Bryson
19
Siegert Baartmans
9
Kevin Van Veen

Substitutes

RB
Rens Boon
#5 · SUB
LS
Lennon Smulders
#25 · SUB
NM
Niek Munsters
#14 · SUB
GC
Gideon Constancia
#32 · SUB
NJ
Niek Janssen
#31 · SUB
LA
Lasse Abildgaard
#10 · SUB
AO
Akin Ozcan
#21 · SUB
DF
Dylan Fancito
#30 · SUB
CE
Clint Essers
#22 · SUB
EE
Emre Eksi
#27 · SUB
AB
Antonio Bazdaric
#18 · SUB

NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven: FAQ

What time is NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?

NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September at 20:00 (Spain time), at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda.

Who is the favourite in NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, NAC Breda are favourites, with a 49% chance of winning. Full split: NAC Breda 49%, draw 22%, FC Eindhoven 28%. Expected goals: 2.1 - 1.5.

What is the most likely NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven score?

The most likely exact score is 1-1 (9%), followed by 2-1 (9%) and 2-2 (7%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.

Will both teams score in NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?

The model gives a 64% chance of both teams scoring and 65% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.

MBet España · Telegram

Free daily analysis on Telegram

Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.

18+ · Gamble responsibly

Join for free

Keep browsing

More Eerste Divisie matches

MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.