Eerste Divisie
· Regular Season - 8
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on NAC Breda v FC Eindhoven in the Eerste Divisie.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is NAC Breda, with a 49% chance of winning. It expects 2.1 goals from NAC Breda and 1.5 from FC Eindhoven: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 65%). Both teams to score: yes at 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: NAC Breda (49%)
Small sample · 5/5 matches- 1 · NAC Breda
- 49%
- X · Draw
- 22%
- 2 · FC Eindhoven
- 28%
Expected goals
NAC Breda 2.06 · FC Eindhoven 1.53
Most likely scores
1-1 (9%) · 2-1 (9%) · 2-2 (7%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| NAC Breda to score | 81% |
| FC Eindhoven to score | 72% |
| NAC Breda or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| NAC Breda wins and over 2.5 | 38% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 9% |
Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Daily analysis · Telegram
Follow NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven on Telegram
Every day we share our analysis of the biggest matches on Telegram for free, before kick-off.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Confirmed data
Key facts
- NAC Breda come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12.
- FC Eindhoven come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10.
- At home, NAC Breda have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, FC Eindhoven have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
- In NAC Breda's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.
- In FC Eindhoven's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

NAC Breda
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
11-12
Goals
- W20 SeptDe Graafschap1-2NAC Breda
- L11 SeptNAC Breda2-3Jong FC Utrecht
- L4 SeptRKC Waalwijk4-2NAC Breda
- D28 AugRoda JC Kerkrade2-2NAC Breda
- W22 AugNAC Breda3-2Jong Ajax

FC Eindhoven
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
8-10
Goals
- W18 SeptFC Eindhoven3-1FC Emmen
- W11 SeptFC Eindhoven2-1FC Dordrecht
- D7 SeptJong FC Utrecht0-0FC Eindhoven
- L30 AugFC Eindhoven1-3Heracles Almelo
- L21 AugFC Den Bosch5-2FC Eindhoven
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

NAC Breda
Substitutes

FC Eindhoven
Substitutes
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven: FAQ
What time is NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September at 20:00 (Spain time), at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda.
Who is the favourite in NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, NAC Breda are favourites, with a 49% chance of winning. Full split: NAC Breda 49%, draw 22%, FC Eindhoven 28%. Expected goals: 2.1 - 1.5.
What is the most likely NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (9%), followed by 2-1 (9%) and 2-2 (7%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven?
The model gives a 64% chance of both teams scoring and 65% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
MBet España · Telegram
Free daily analysis on Telegram
Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Keep browsing
More Eerste Divisie matches
De Graafschap vs NAC Breda
Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 16:45
FC Dordrecht vs Almere City
Friday, 25 September 2026 at 21:00
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC
Friday, 25 September 2026 at 21:00
Heracles Almelo vs Vitesse
Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 16:30
Heracles vs Vitesse
Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 16:30
MVV vs Helmond Sport
Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 20:00
MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.