Nations League

Nations League

Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 20:45Nagyerdei Stadion, DebrecenReferee: Harm Osmers

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Israel v Rep. Of Ireland in the Nations League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: A balanced match: Israel have a slight edge (38% against 33%) and the draw sits at 29%. It expects 1.2 goals from Israel and 1.1 from Rep. Of Ireland: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Israel (38%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Israel
38%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Rep. Of Ireland
33%

Expected goals

Israel 1.24 · Rep. Of Ireland 1.13

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (10%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Under 3.5 goals72%
Israel or draw (1X)67%
Israel to score66%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Rep. Of Ireland to score64%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.535%
Israel (draw no bet)54%
Correct score 1-114%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Israel come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6.
  • Rep. Of Ireland come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2.
  • Away from home, Rep. Of Ireland have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Israel's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Rep. Of Ireland's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Israel

Israel

Last 5 matches

DWDWL

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

8-6

Goals

  • L24 SeptAustria3-1Israel
  • W3 JunAlbania0-1Israel
  • D26 MarGeorgia2-2Israel
  • W16 NovIsrael4-1Moldova
  • D13 NovLithuania0-0Israel
Rep. Of Ireland

Rep. Of Ireland

Last 5 matches

DWWDL

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

7-2

Goals

  • L24 SeptKosovo1-0Rep. Of Ireland
  • D6 JunCanada1-1Rep. Of Ireland
  • W28 MayRep. Of Ireland1-0Qatar
  • W16 MayRep. Of Ireland5-0Grenada
  • D31 MarRep. Of Ireland0-0North Macedonia

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Israel

Israel

4-4-2
1
Daniel Peretz
14
Guy Mizrahi
3
Roy Revivo
4
Raz Shlomo
13
Nikita Stoioanov
16
Gavriel Kanichowsky
17
Anan Khalaili
15
Eliel Peretz
10
Manor Solomon
11
Oscar Gloukh
19
Dor Turgeman

Substitutes

DP
Dor Peretz
#8 · SUB
EA
Ethane Azoulay
#22 · SUB
IN
Idan Nachmias
#5 · SUB
YS
Yarden Shua
#7 · SUB
TB
Tai Baribo
#9 · SUB
ED
Eli Dasa
#2 · SUB
YL
Yarin Levi
#6 · SUB
AT
Assaf Tzur
#23 · SUB
IF
Ilay Feingold
#12 · SUB
IT
Idan Toklomati
#21 · SUB
LA
Liel Abada
#20 · SUB
OG
Omri Glazer
#18 · SUB
Rep. Of Ireland

Rep. Of Ireland

3-4-3
1
Caoimhín Kelleher
12
Liam Kitching
5
Jake O'Brien
4
Dara O'Shea
2
James Abankwah
18
Ryan Manning
14
Conor Coventry
6
Jayson Molumby
7
Troy Parrott
17
Jack Moylan
10
Adam Idah

Substitutes

JE
John Egan
#15 · SUB
KP
Killian Phillips
#22 · SUB
LS
Liam Scales
#3 · SUB
RV
Rocco Vata
#21 · SUB
JK
Jason Knight
#8 · SUB
JD
Jimmy Dunne
#23 · SUB
CO
Chiedozie Ogbene
#20 · SUB
JB
Joel Bagan
#13 · SUB
MO
Max O'Leary
#16 · SUB
OE
Owen Elding
#19 · SUB
FA
Finn Azaz
#11 · SUB
TC
Thomas Cannon
#9 · SUB

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland: FAQ

What time is Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland (Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September at 20:45 (Spain time), at Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen.

Who is the favourite in Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Israel are favourites, with a 38% chance of winning. Full split: Israel 38%, draw 29%, Rep. Of Ireland 33%. Expected goals: 1.2 - 1.1.

What is the most likely Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland score?

The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.

Will both teams score in Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland?

The model gives a 49% chance of both teams scoring and 44% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.