Nations League

· League A - 2

Germany

20:45

Preview

Greece

Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 20:45WWK Arena, AugsburgReferee: Chris Kavanagh

Germany vs Greece: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Germany v Greece in the Nations League.

Data updated: Friday, 6 November 2026 at 20:44

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MBet statistical model

Germany vs Greece prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Germany, with a 51% chance of winning. It expects 1.6 goals from Germany and 1.1 from Greece: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Small sample · 5/5 matches

1 · Germany: 51%
X · Draw: 26%
2 · Greece: 23%

Expected goals

Germany 1.65 · Greece 1.05

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
Scenario	Probability
Germany or draw (1X)	77%
Germany to score	75%
Over 1.5 goals	70%
Germany (draw no bet)	68%
Under 3.5 goals	66%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
Scenario	Probability
BTTS and over 2.5	41%
Both teams to score: yes	52%
Correct score 1-1	12%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Germany come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6.
Greece come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5.
At home, Germany have won 2 of their last 3 matches (3.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
Away from home, Greece have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
In Germany's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.
In Greece's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Germany

Last 5 matches

WWLLD

Wins

Draws

Losses

12-6

Goals

D24 SeptNetherlands1-1Germany
L29 JunGermany1-1Paraguay
L25 JunEcuador2-1Germany
W20 JunGermany2-1Ivory Coast
W14 JunGermany7-1Curaçao

Greece

Last 5 matches

LDDLW

Wins

Draws

Losses

4-5

Goals

W24 SeptSerbia1-2Greece
L7 JunGreece0-1Italy
D4 JunSweden2-2Greece
D31 MarHungary0-0Greece
L27 MarGreece0-1Paraguay

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Germany

4-2-3-1

Alexander Nübel

Josha Vagnoman

Nathaniel Brown

Yann Bisseck

Jonathan Tah

Joshua Kimmich

Karim Adeyemi

Felix Nmecha

Bambasé Conté

Kevin Schade

Younes Ebnoutalib

Substitutes

Philipp Treu

#13 · SUB

Hennes Behrens

#22 · SUB

Florian Wirtz

#17 · SUB

Marc-André ter Stegen

#1 · SUB

Jonathan Burkardt

#10 · SUB

Chris Führich

#7 · SUB

Yannick Engelhardt

#5 · SUB

Nadiem Amiri

#11 · SUB

Max Rosenfelder

#3 · SUB

Serge Gnabry

#20 · SUB

Finn Dahmen

#12 · SUB

Anton Stach

#16 · SUB

Greece

4-4-2

Konstantinos Tzolakis

Georgios Vagiannidis

Kostas Tsimikas

Konstantinos Mavropanos

Panagiotis Retsos

Thanasis Androutsos

Konstantinos Karetsas

Christos Zafeiris

Christos Tzolis

Andrews Tetteh

Vangelis Pavlidis

Substitutes

Odisseas Vlachodimos

#1 · SUB

Andreas Ntoi

#3 · SUB

Charalambos Kostoulas

#11 · SUB

Christos Mandas

#13 · SUB

Ioannis Michailidis

#18 · SUB

Manolis Saliakas

#17 · SUB

Christos Mouzakitis

#23 · SUB

Georgios Masouras

#7 · SUB

Dimitrios Kourbelis

#6 · SUB

Tasos Douvikas

#9 · SUB

Georgios Kyriakopoulos

#22 · SUB

Fotis Ioannidis

#8 · SUB

Germany vs Greece: FAQ

What time is Germany vs Greece?

Germany vs Greece (Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September at 20:45 (Spain time), at WWK Arena, Augsburg.

Who is the favourite in Germany vs Greece?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Germany are favourites, with a 51% chance of winning. Full split: Germany 51%, draw 26%, Greece 23%. Expected goals: 1.7 - 1.1.

What is the most likely Germany vs Greece score?

The most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), followed by 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.